Opinion polling for the 2015 Canadian federal election

This table provides a list of scientific, nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted from the 2011 Canadian federal election leading up to the 2015 Canadian federal election, which was held on October 19, 2015. For riding-specific polls see 2015 constituency polls.

Campaign period

Graphical summary
s, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	Cons.	NDP	Liberal	BQ	Green	Margin of error	Sample size	Polling method	Lead

Election		'	31.9	19.7	39.5	4.7	3.4				7.6

Nanos Research			30.5	19.7	39.1	5.5	4.6	±3.5 pp	800	telephone	8.6
Forum Research			30	20	40	6	3	±3 pp	1,373	IVR	10
EKOS			31.9	20.4	35.8	4.9	5.6	±2.1 pp	2,122	IVR/telephone – rolling	3.9
EKOS			32.6	21.0	34.3	5.4	5.4	±2.4 pp	1,621	IVR/telephone – rolling	1.7
Ipsos Reid			31	22	38	4	4	±2.2 pp	2,503	online/telephone	7
Nanos Research			30.5	22.1	37.3	4.6	4.7	±2.2 pp	2,000	telephone – rolling	6.8
EKOS			33.3	21.9	33.7	4.7	4.1	±2.5 pp	1,537	IVR/telephone – rolling	0.4
Nanos Research			30.7	22.6	37.0	4.4	4.7	±2.5 pp	1,600	telephone – rolling	6.3
Léger Marketing			30	22	38	6	4	±2.1 pp	2,086	online	8
Angus Reid			31	22	35	5	5	±2.2 pp	2,022	online	4
Mainstreet Research			33	21	38	4	5	±1.4 pp	5,546	IVR	5
EKOS			32.8	22.7	34.0	3.4	5.1	±2.3 pp	1,813	IVR/telephone – rolling	1.2
Nanos Research			30.6	23.5	36.5	4.3	4.7	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	5.9
Forum Research			31	24	37	6	2	±3 pp	1,438	IVR	6
EKOS			32.6	22.9	33.5	3.4	5.6	±2.6 pp	1,438	IVR/telephone – rolling	0.9
Nanos Research			29.4	23.7	37.1	5.0	4.3	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	7.7
EKOS			29.9	24.1	34.1	3.8	6.4	±2.9 pp	1,179	IVR/telephone – rolling	4.2
Nanos Research			29.2	24.5	36.1	5.2	4.3	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	6.9
Ipsos Reid			31	24	37	5	2	±3.0 pp	1,349	online	6
EKOS			31.1	20.6	35.6	3.2	7.5	±2.9 pp	1,115	IVR/telephone – rolling	4.5
Nanos Research			28.9	24.3	35.7	5.7	4.8	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	6.8
Innovative Research			30	22	38	3	6	±3.1 pp	1,143	telephone	8
EKOS			35.5	19.0	33.1	3.3	7.4	±2.6 pp	1,428	IVR/telephone – rolling	2.4
Nanos Research			29.0	25.0	35.1	5.2	5.1	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	6.1
Forum Research			31	23	37	5	3	±3 pp	1,427	IVR	6
Nanos Research			28.6	24.9	34.8	5.5	5.4	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	6.2
Angus Reid			33	25	31	6	3	±3 pp	1,083	online	2
EKOS			33.7	20.4	33.8	3.5	7.2	±2.4 pp	1,618	IVR/telephone – rolling	0.1
Nanos Research			31.0	25.0	34.0	5.3	4.2	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	3.0
Innovative Research			30	24	35	5	5	n.a	3,417	online	5
Mainstreet Research			36	20	35	4	5	±1.3 pp	5,630	IVR	1
Léger Marketing			30	25	34	6	4	±2.1 pp	2,087	online	4
EKOS			32.5	21.1	34.1	3.6	7.3	±2.3 pp	1,753	IVR/telephone – rolling	1.6
Nanos Research			31.6	24.2	33.5	5.6	4.6	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	1.9
Forum Research			31	26	35	4	3	±3 pp	1,447	IVR	4
Abacus Data			33	24	32	4	5	±2.2 pp	2,000	online	1
EKOS			34.1	21.4	32.3	4.0	6.9	±2.3 pp	1,788	IVR/telephone – rolling	1.8
Nanos Research			32.1	23.0	34.3	5.1	4.6	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	2.2
EKOS			35.1	22.2	30.9	4.0	6.6	±2.4 pp	1,658	IVR/telephone – rolling	4.2
Nanos Research			31.5	23.1	35.0	4.9	4.6	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	3.5
Ipsos Reid			33	26	32	5	3	±2.9 pp	1,441	online	1
Nanos Research			31.0	22.8	35.6	4.8	4.7	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	4.6
Nanos Research			31.0	24.3	35.3	4.3	4.5	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	4.3
Nanos Research			30.5	25.1	34.6	4.5	4.8	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	4.1
Mainstreet Research			37	24	29	4	7	±1.4 pp	5,197	IVR	8
Innovative Research			29	29	31	5	6	n.a	1,562	online	2
Nanos Research			31.9	25.9	33.5	4.3	3.9	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	1.6
Léger Marketing			30	26	32	6	6	±2.1 pp	2,107	online	2
Angus Reid			34	27	27	6	5	±2.5 pp	2,021	online	7
Nanos Research			32.8	26.1	31.7	4.8	4.1	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	1.1
Forum Research			34	28	27	5	5	±3 pp	1,499	IVR	6
Nanos Research			32.1	26.3	32.2	4.6	4.4	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	0.1
EKOS			33.4	25.6	26.7	5.3	7.8	±1.9 pp	2,609	IVR	6.7
Nanos Research			32.6	27.0	31.4	4.4	4.0	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	1.2
Ipsos Reid			32	27	33	4	4	±3.0 pp	1,354	online	1
Nanos Research			33.0	26.9	31.6	4.2	3.6	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	1.4
Abacus Data			32	27	29	5	5	±1.6 pp	3,814	online	3
Nanos Research			31.5	27.6	32.5	4.0	3.7	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	1.0
Nanos Research			29.6	30.3	31.8	3.1	4.5	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	1.5
Nanos Research			28.9	31.1	32.3	2.5	4.2	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	1.2
Innovative Research			31	29	28	3	8	n.a.	2,805	online	2
Forum Research			31	28	31	4	4	±3 pp	1,557	IVR	Tie
Nanos Research			30.5	30.8	31.5	2.3	3.7	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	0.7
Léger Marketing			31	29	31	5	5	±2.1 pp	2,115	online	Tie
Innovative Research			32	27	30	3	7	±2.5 pp	1,784	telephone	2
Nanos Research			31.5	29.1	31.6	2.6	4.2	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	0.1
EKOS			35.4	24.5	26.3	4.2	7.7	±2.0 pp	2,343	IVR	9.1
Nanos Research			31.3	29.4	30.3	3.4	4.6	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	1.0
Ipsos Reid			27	30	33	5	4	±3.4 pp	1,103	online	3
Nanos Research			31.0	29.1	29.4	3.8	5.5	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	1.6
Nanos Research			30.8	29.1	30.3	3.7	5.1	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	0.5
Forum Research			33	29	29	4	4	±3 pp	922	IVR	4
Nanos Research			30.4	28.9	30.8	3.0	6.0	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	0.4
Nanos Research			29.1	31.3	31.0	2.3	5.8	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	0.3
Nanos Research			30.1	30.4	30.9	2.5	5.8	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	0.5
Forum Research			32	30	28	4	6	±3 pp	1,402	IVR	2
Nanos Research			29.0	31.6	30.1	2.8	5.3	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	1.5
Environics			26	34	29	4	8	±3.6 pp	1,001	telephone	5
EKOS			29.6	29.9	27.4	3.7	7.6	±1.9 pp	2,704	IVR	0.3
Nanos Research			31.0	30.4	29.6	2.9	4.8	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	0.6
Ipsos Reid			29	32	31	4	4	±3.6 pp	980	online	1
Nanos Research			30.2	31.3	30.3	2.6	4.3	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	1.0
Nanos Research			31.7	30.8	30.5	2.5	4.1	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	0.9
Abacus Data			29	31	29	4	6	±2.6 pp	1,500	online	2
Nanos Research			30.9	30.1	31.7	2.8	4.0	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	0.8
Forum Research			28	36	29	3	3	±3 pp	1,308	IVR	7
Nanos Research			30.8	29.9	30.9	3.2	4.6	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	0.1
Innovative Research			28	31	30	4	6	±2.2 pp	2,121	online	1
Nanos Research			28.6	30.6	32.1	3.6	4.8	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	1.5
Nanos Research			25.9	31.2	32.5	3.7	6.1	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	1.3
Ipsos Reid			29	34	30	3	3	±3.6 pp	949	online	4
EKOS			31.8	29.6	26.9	4.6	5.9	±1.9 pp	2,677	IVR	2.2
Nanos Research			26.2	32.7	30.8	3.7	6.0	±2.8 pp	1,200	telephone – rolling	1.9
Léger Marketing			28	31	30	4	5	±2.1 pp	2,119	online	1
Forum Research			24	36	32	4	4	±3 pp	1,384	IVR	4
EKOS			29.5	30.2	27.7	4.2	6.4	±1.7 pp	3,243	IVR	0.7
Abacus Data			30	31	28	3	7	±2.6 pp	1,500	online	1
Nanos Research			28.8	30.8	29.7	4.2	5.4	±3.1 pp	1,000	telephone – rolling	1.1
Innovative Research			30	32	27	4	6	±1.7 pp	3,274	online	2
Ipsos Reid			29	33	30	4	4	±3.5 pp	1,000	online	3
EKOS			28.1	33.6	26.7	4.1	5.8	±1.7 pp	3,524	IVR	5.5
Forum Research			23	40	30	3	3	±3 pp	1,440	IVR	10
Angus Reid			32	36	23	4	4	±1.2 pp	6,226	online	4
Nanos Research			30.1	29.1	29.9	4.7	5.2	±3.1 pp	1,000	telephone – rolling	0.2
Forum Research			29	34	28	4	4	±3 pp	1,473	IVR	5
Abacus Data			29	35	26	3	6	±2.6 pp	1,439	online	6
Nanos Research			31.8	29.0	28.7	4.5	5.3	±3.1 pp	1,000	telephone – rolling	2.8
Léger Marketing			27	33	28	5	6	±2.1 pp	2,095	online	5
Mainstreet Research			31	30	29	4	6	±1.35 pp	5,401	IVR	1
Forum Research			28	34	27	6	4	±3 pp	1,392	IVR	6
EKOS			30.4	31.8	24.2	4.2	7.3	±1.8 pp	3,055	IVR	1.4
Ipsos Reid			30.8	33.0	27.8	3.9	4.0	±2.38 pp	2,022	telephone/online	2.2
Nanos Research			31.2	30.4	28.6	4.2	5.0	±3.1 pp	1,000	telephone – rolling	0.8
Forum Research			28	39	25	5	3	±3 pp	1,399	IVR	11

Notes'''

Pre-campaign period

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	Cons.	NDP	Liberal	BQ	Green	Margin of error	Sample size	Polling method	Lead
Nanos Research			31.5	30.1	29.3	3.3	5.4	±3.1 pp	1,000	telephone – rolling	1.4
Innovative Research			29.3	33.7	25.8	4.6	5.6	±1.9 pp	2,833	online	4.4
Forum Research			33	33	25	4	4	±3.0 pp	1,397	IVR	Tie
EKOS			30.1	33.8	23.4	4.7	6.1	±2.1 pp	2,247	IVR	3.7
Ipsos Reid			33	34	25	5	3	±2.5 pp	1,571	online	1
Mainstreet Research			38	27	25	4	6	±1.37 pp	5,147	IVR	11
Forum Research			28	34	29	5	4	±3.0 pp	1,208	IVR	6
Nanos Research			31	31	27	5	6	±3.1 pp	1,000	telephone – rolling	Tie
Leger Marketing			32	32	25	5	6	±2.5 pp	1,545	online	Tie
EKOS			29.4	32.6	24.0	5.3	6.6	±2.0 pp	2,538	IVR	3.2
Forum Research			27	34	27	7	5	±3.0 pp	1,251	IVR	7
Forum Research			32	32	26	5	3	±3.0 pp	1,200	IVR	Tie
Abacus Data			29	32	27	6	6	±2.2 pp	2,000	online	3
Forum Research			27	32	29	6	4	±3.0 pp	1,221	IVR	3
EKOS			27.3	30.9	25.6	6.3	6.6	±2.3 pp	1,752	IVR	3.6
Forum Research			28	36	28	5	2	±3.0 pp	1,268	IVR	8
Ipsos Reid			28	35	29	6	2	±2.5 pp	2,003	online	6
Environics			28	30	28	6	7	±2.4 pp	2,003	telephone	2
Forum Research			26	34	28	7	5	±3.0 pp	1,281	IVR	6
EKOS			29.4	30.2	25.0	5.9	7.1	±1.6 pp	3,834	IVR	0.8
EKOS			26.9	33.6	23.3	5.1	7.3	±2.0 pp	2,491	IVR	6.7
Angus Reid			31	36	23	5	5	±1.2 pp	6,005	online	5
Forum Research			31	28	32	3	5	±3.0 pp	1,156	IVR	1
EKOS			29.2	31.3	23.9	4.8	7.4	±2.1 pp	2,204	IVR	2.1
Abacus Data			31	28	28	4	7	±2.6 pp	1,500	online	3
Ipsos Reid			31	30	31	4	4	±3.5 pp	1,003	online	Tie
Nanos Research			32	30	29	4	5	±3.1 pp	1,000	telephone – rolling	2
EKOS			29.5	28.9	26.8	4.1	7.8	±1.8 pp	2,934	IVR	0.6
EKOS			28.1	29.6	26.1	5.4	7.6	±1.9 pp	2,675	IVR	1.5
Nanos Research			32.9	25.2	31.3	3.6	5.3	±3.1 pp	1,000	telephone – rolling	1.6
Forum Research			31	30	31	3	4	±3.0 pp	1,286	IVR	Tie
EKOS			30.0	29.1	27.0	4.1	8.0	±2.1 pp	2,177	IVR	0.9
EKOS			30.3	24.2	29.6	4.2	7.3	±1.8 pp	3,017	IVR	0.7
Leger Marketing			33	21	34	4	7	±2.5 pp	1,488	online	1
EKOS			32.4	21.9	28.7	4.1	9.9	±1.6 pp	3,757	IVR	3.7
Abacus Data			36	24	28	5	6	±2.6 pp	1,500	online	8
Forum Research			35	23	31	5	6	±3.0 pp	977	IVR	4
EKOS			31.8	23.5	27.6	4.9	7.5	±1.6 pp	3,850	IVR	4.0
Nanos Research			29	25	34	4	8	±3.1 pp	1,000	telephone – rolling	5
Forum Research			33	22	35	3	6	±3.0 pp	1,365	IVR	2
EKOS			32.2	22.7	28.5	4.9	8.0	±1.7 pp	3,399	IVR	3.7
Ipsos Reid			35	25	33	4	3	±3.5 pp	1,001	online	2
EKOS			28.7	22.9	30.1	4.2	9.2	±1.7 pp	3,306	IVR	1.4
Forum Research			31	23	34	5	5	±3.0 pp	1,239	IVR	3
EKOS			31.9	22.6	27.6	5.2	9.6	±1.6 pp	3,901	IVR	4.3
Oraclepoll Research			35.3	18.7	31.4	5.9	8.7	±1.8 pp	3,040	telephone	3.9
EKOS			31.8	23.2	28.5	4.7	8.7	±1.5 pp	4,311	IVR	3.3
Abacus Data			32	23	33	4	6	±3.1 pp	1,000	online	1
Leger Marketing			34	20	35	4	6	±2.5 pp	1,511	online	1
EKOS			30.2	21.2	32.1	4.8	7.9	±1.6 pp	3,832	IVR	1.9
Forum Research			32	21	36	4	6	±3.0 pp	1,370	IVR	4
EKOS			32.9	19.7	30.5	4.8	8.8	±1.8 pp	2,950	IVR	2.4
EKOS			32.2	19.9	31.3	4.6	9.0	±1.7 pp	3,241	IVR	0.9
Nanos Research			33	23	34	5	5	±3.1 pp	1,000	telephone – rolling	1
EKOS			31.1	22.1	31.9	4.5	7.5	±1.6 pp	3,607	IVR	0.8
Ipsos Reid			33	23	34	6	3	±2.2 pp	2,650	online	1
EKOS			32.3	19.1	31.6	5.4	8.0	±1.7 pp	3,386	IVR	0.7
Abacus Data			35	21	34	4	4	±2.6 pp	1,460	online	1
Forum Research			32	17	39	4	5	±3.0 pp	1,018	IVR	7
EKOS			32.0	18.9	33.8	4.2	8.5	±1.8 pp	3,005	IVR	1.8
EKOS			35.0	17.9	32.2	3.8	8.0	±1.8 pp	2,974	IVR	2.8
Leger Marketing			32	20	35	5	6	±2.5 pp	1,507	online	3
Forum Research			35	20	34	5	6	±3.0 pp	1,382	IVR	1
Abacus Data			33	24	32	4	5	±3.1 pp	1,005	online	1
EKOS			31.0	19.1	33.1	4.4	8.9	±1.5 pp	4,412	IVR	2.1
Ipsos Reid			35	24	31	6	4	±2.6 pp	1,915	online	4
Forum Research			33	20	37	4	5	±2.0 pp	1,741	IVR	4
Abacus Data			34	22	33	4	6	±2.6 pp	1,438	online	1
EKOS			29.8	20.2	33.8	5.3	7.7	±1.7 pp	2,183	IVR	3.0
Angus Reid			34	22	34	4	5	±1.2 pp	6,325	online	Tie
EKOS			30.8	20.0	31.8	5.0	7.8	±1.7 pp	3,276	IVR	1
Forum Research			33	17	41	3	5	±2.0 pp	1,658	IVR	8
Leger Marketing			32	19	38	4	6	±2.5 pp	1,521	online	6
Ipsos Reid			33	24	34	5	4	±1.2 pp	8,268	online	1
Forum Research			33	18	36	4	8	±3.0 pp	1,500	IVR	3
EKOS			30.2	20.5	33.5	3.5	9.7	±2.5 pp	1,561	IVR	3.3
Leger Marketing			33	19	36	3	7	±2.5 pp	1,493	online	3
Abacus Data			30	24	35	4	6	±2.3 pp	1,850	online	5
EKOS			27.8	21.4	33.4	5.5	8.2	±2.4 pp	1,628	IVR	5.6
Abacus Data			30	25	32	4	8	±2.8 pp	1,248	online	2
Leger Marketing			32	21	37	4	5	±2.5 pp	1,524	online	5
EKOS			26.4	25.0	38.5	3.1	5.7	±2.4 pp	1,671	telephone/online	12.1
Forum Research			34	19	38	4	4	±2.5 pp	1,504	IVR	4
EKOS			24.9	24.4	38.3	4.0	7.7	±2.5 pp	1,549	telephone/online	13.4
Angus Reid			30	22	36	4	6	±2.5 pp	1,502	online	6
Abacus Data			30	23	38	3	5	±3.1 pp	1,075	online	8
Ipsos Reid			31	23	38	5	3	±2.8 pp	1,605	online	7
Forum Research			34	18	40	4	3	±3.0 pp	1,267	IVR	6
Forum Research			32	17	41	5	5	±2.0 pp	1,798	IVR	9
Abacus Data			29	22	35	5	7	±2.5 pp	1,614	online	6
Ipsos Reid			31	24	38	3	3	±3.5 pp	1,012	online	7
EKOS			25.6	23.4	38.7	3.7	7.1	±1.9 pp	2,620	telephone/online	12.1
Forum Research			28	18	44	5	3	±2.0 pp	1,624	IVR	16
Abacus Data			31	23	34	5	6	±2.2 pp	2,000	online	3
Forum Research			31	19	39	4	5	±2.0 pp	1,683	IVR	8
Angus Reid			31	27	30	5	6	±1.2 pp	6,264	online	1
Angus Reid			31	25	30	5	7	±3.4 pp	1,503	online	1
Forum Research			30	23	36	6	5	±2.0 pp	1,694	IVR	6
EKOS			27.6	21.4	34.9	5.3	8.2	±1.6 pp	3,677	IVR	7.3
Forum Research			30	20	39	6	4	±2.0 pp	1,572	IVR	9
Ipsos Reid			33	24	33	6	4	±3.5 pp	1,014	online	Tie
Angus Reid			32	26	30	5	6	±3.4 pp	1,505	online	2
EKOS			26.7	21.8	35.8	4.8	8.1	±1.5 pp	4,134	IVR	9.1
Forum Research			29	22	39	5	3	±2.0 pp	1,764	IVR	10
Angus Reid			28	27	33	5	6	±1.2 pp	6,445	online	5
Abacus Data			28	23	34	8	6	±2.8 pp	1,249	online	6
Forum Research			29	21	39	6	4	±2.0 pp	1,824	IVR	10
Ipsos Reid			29	24	37	5	5	±3.5 pp	1,034	online	8
Angus Reid			28	26	33	5	6	±2.5 pp	1,514	online	5
Nanos Research			28.7	23.2	34.0	6.4	5.3	±3.4 pp	1,000	telephone	5.3
Ipsos Reid			29	27	33	7	4	±3.5 pp	1,001	online	4
EKOS			29.7	24.3	33.2	4.5	6.2	±2.5 pp	1,501	telephone/online	3.5
Forum Research			28	24	38	5	4	±3.0 pp	1,228	IVR	10
Abacus Data			28	24	34	5	7	±2.2 pp	1,996	online	6
Forum Research			28	25	37	5	4	±2.0 pp	1,779	IVR	9
EKOS			26.2	22.9	32.1	6.3	9.3	±1.7 pp	3,468	IVR	5.9
Forum Research			32	21	38	5	3	±2.0 pp	1,634	IVR	6
Ipsos Reid			29	26	35	6	3	±3.5 pp	1,014	online	6
Harris-Decima			26	23	36	7	7	±2.2 pp	2,034	telephone	10
Forum Research			29	22	38	6	4	±2.0 pp	1,834	IVR	9
EKOS			26.4	24.9	37.4	5.2	5.2	±2.6 pp	1,377	telephone/online	11.0
Ipsos Reid			30	31	31	6	2	±3.4 pp	1,102	online	Tie
Forum Research			28	20	40	6	5	±3.0 pp	1,007	IVR	12
Forum Research			30	19	39	7	5	±2.0 pp	1,859	IVR	9
Abacus Data			32	23	32	5	7	±2.6 pp	1,459	online	Tie
Ipsos Reid			31	27	33	6	2	±3.4 pp	1,042	online	2
Nanos Research			29	23	37	5	5	±3.5 pp	1,000	telephone	8
EKOS			26.1	24.9	36.3	5.0	6.5	±2.5 pp	1,554	telephone/online	10.2
Ipsos Reid			32	26	31	7	3	±3.5 pp	1,035	online	1
Forum Research			31	21	36	7	4	±3.0 pp	1,527	IVR	5
Harris-Decima			29	24	33	6	6	±2.2 pp	2,020	telephone	4
Abacus Data			30	27	29	8	4	±2.5 pp	1,600	online	1
Nanos Research			30	25	33	5	5	±3.5 pp	1,000	telephone	3
Forum Research			29	22	38	6	4	±3.0 pp	1,189	IVR	9
Nanos Research			29.7	24.8	35.7	3.9	5.5	±3.3 pp	1,000	telephone/online	6.0
Nanos Research			31.9	22.8	35.3	2.5	5.9	±2.2 pp	2,000	telephone	3.4
Forum Research			31	22	35	7	4	±2.0 pp	1,782	IVR	4
EKOS			28.4	23.4	30.4	6.3	8.5	±1.8 pp	2,900	IVR	2.0
Environics			28	24	34	6	6	±2.4 pp	2,149	telephone	6
Ipsos Reid			30	28	33	6	4	±3.3 pp	1,177	online	3
Abacus Data			27	26	29	6	10	±3.1 pp	999	online	2
Leger Marketing			29	21	37	4	8	±2.5 pp	1,503	online	8
Nanos Research			29.4	25.3	34.2	3.7	6.4	±3.5 pp	1,000	telephone/online	4.8
Forum Research			30	20	38	6	4	±2.0 pp	1,525	IVR	8
Ipsos Reid			30	27	36	4	4	±3.5 pp	1,009	online	6
EKOS			26.3	20.9	34.7	5.4	9.2	±1.7 pp	3,318	IVR	8.4
Forum Research			27	20	44	4	3	±2.0 pp	1,779	IVR	17
EKOS			26.2	23.9	38.6	4.2	6.3	±2.7 pp	1,309	telephone/online	12.4
Ipsos Reid			32	25	35	5	3	±3.4 pp	1,059	online	3
Harris-Decima			28	22	35	6	7	±2.2 pp	2,008	telephone	7
Forum Research			30	19	43	5	2	±2.0 pp	1,764	IVR	13
EKOS			28.8	23.3	29.1	6.4	9.0	±1.5 pp	4,568	IVR	0.3
Nanos Research			31.3	23.6	35.4	4.8	4.2	±3.3 pp	1,002	telephone/online	4.1
Abacus Data			33	27	27	5	7	±2.6 pp	1,511	online	6
Ipsos Reid			31	27	32	6	4	±3.4 pp	1,053		1
Forum Research			29	25	33	5	6	±3.0 pp	1,310	IVR	4
Leger Marketing			31	24	30	7	7	±2.5 pp	1,511	online	1
Abacus Data			32	31	24	5	8	±3.1 pp	1,014	online	1
Forum Research			31	27	30	6	5	±2.0 pp	1,755	IVR	1
Nanos Research			31.5	27.2	29.1	5.2	5.9	±3.7 pp	1,000	telephone	2.4
EKOS			29.3	26.3	24.6	7.2	9.5	±1.3 pp	5,947	IVR	3.0
Forum Research			32	26	30	6	4	±3.0 pp	1,091	IVR	2
Abacus Data			35	31	21	6	6	±2.3 pp	1,832	online	4
Nanos Research			34.3	27.1	27.6	4.6	4.7	±3.5 pp	1,000	telephone	6.7
Forum Research			36	28	25	7	4	±2.0 pp	1,626	IVR	8
Angus Reid			35	29	22	6	6	±2.2 pp	2,028	online	6
Angus Reid			35	33	19	6	6	±3.1 pp	1,012	online	2
Forum Research			31	28	27	6	6	±2.0 pp	1,355	IVR	3
Abacus Data			34	32	22	6	6	±2.6 pp	1,505	online	2
Leger Marketing			35	30	18	7	9	±2.5 pp	1,500	online	5
EKOS			31.9	25.8	24.4	6.7	8.4	±1.3 pp	5,433	IVR	6.1
Forum Research			33	28	28	6	4	±2.0 pp	1,849	IVR	5
Nanos Research			33.8	27.2	29.0	4.9	3.7	±3.5 pp	1,004	telephone	4.8
Abacus Data			36	29	22	7	6	±3.0 pp	1,068	online	7
Ipsos Reid			34	30	26	7	2	±2.5 pp	2,009	telephone/online	4
Forum Research			31	32	27	6	4	±2.0 pp	1,735	IVR	1
Nanos Research			33.3	27.9	30.1	4.7	2.9	±3.4 pp	1,000	telephone	3.2
Forum Research			35	30	25	6	3	±2.0 pp	1,707	IVR	5
Environics			31	35	20	9	5	±2.4 pp	2,000	telephone	4
Abacus Data			35	35	17	7	6	±2.9 pp	1,208	online	Tie
Harris-Decima			34	27	24	6	7	±2.2 pp	2,007	telephone	7
Nanos Research			32.4	30.4	24.6	5.8	5.0	±3.4 pp	1,000	telephone	2.0
Forum Research			34	34	22	6	4	±2.4 pp	1,720	IVR	Tie
Abacus Data			37	32	20	6	6	±2.2 pp	2,099	online	5
Forum Research			31	35	22	6	5	±2.4 pp	1,639	IVR	4
Nanos Research			33.6	30.3	26.5	4.4	4.2	±3.2 pp	1,200	telephone	3.3
EKOS			30.2	32.3	19.5	4.9	10.0	±2.1 pp	2,098	IVR	2.1
Forum Research			35	35	19	6	3	±2.9 pp	1,165	IVR	Tie
EKOS			29.3	32.4	19.2	6.5	9.5	±2.2 pp	2,049	IVR	3.1
Abacus Data			35	35	20	5	6	±3.1 pp	1,008	online	Tie
Environics			33	35	19	7	5	±2.4 pp	2,093	telephone	2
Ipsos Reid			35	38	18	6	4	±3.1 pp	1,099	online	3
Harris-Decima			31	32	23	5	7	±2.2 pp	2,000	telephone	1
Angus Reid			34	35	19	6	5	±2.5 pp	1,500	online	1
Forum Research			30	37	22	6	5	±2.5 pp	1,529	IVR	7
Nanos Research			33.5	33.6	24.9	3.4	2.4	±3.1 pp	1,201	telephone	0.1
Forum Research			32	36	20	5	6	±2.3 pp	1,836	IVR	4
Angus Reid			37	33	18	7	4	±3.1 pp	1,014	online	4
Abacus Data			37	35	17	6	5	±3.1 pp	1,008	online	2
Ipsos Reid			37	35	19	5	3	±2.0 pp	2,061	telephone/online	2
Environics			32	36	19	6	7	±3.5 pp	1,000	telephone	4
Harris-Decima			30	34	20	7	8	±2.2 pp	2,018	telephone	4
Harris-Decima			30	33	20	7	8	±3.1 pp	1,006	telephone	3
Forum Research			33	36	22	6	2	±2.4 pp	1,744	IVR	3
Nanos Research			34.7	32.4	23.3	3.9	4.2	±3.2 pp	1,200	telephone	2.3
Ipsos Reid			34	33	21	7	4	±2.0 pp	1,008	telephone	1
Leger Marketing			32	33	19	7	8	±2.5 pp	1,506	online	1
Harris-Decima			34	32	19	6	8	±2.2 pp	2,003	telephone	2
Forum Research			36	34	19	5	5	±2.4 pp	1,675	IVR	2
Forum Research			35	35	19	7	3	±2.4 pp	1,638	IVR	Tie
Angus Reid			37	29	21	8	4	±3.1 pp	1,004	online	8
Innovative Research			37	25	24	6	7	±2.8 pp	1,193	online	12
Harris-Decima			31	28	24	8	7	±2.2 pp	2,005	telephone	3
Environics			30	30	20	8	7	±2.4 pp	2,000	telephone	Tie
Abacus Data			37	28	20	8	7	±3.1 pp	1,003	online	9
EKOS			35.4	29.7	19.6	5.8	8.1	±2.2 pp	2,011	telephone/online	5.7
Ipsos Reid			37	29	23	7	4	±2.0 pp	3,154	telephone/online	8
Leger Marketing			34	26	24	8	7	±2.0 pp	2,509	online	8
Forum Research			37	28	25	5	4	±2.4 pp	1,675	IVR	9
Nanos Research			35.7	25.0	29.5	4.9	3.4	±3.1 pp	1,203	telephone	6.2
EKOS			31.5	29.2	21.7	6.0	8.3	±1.6 pp	3,699	IVR	2.3
Forum Research			36	28	26	6	3	±2.8 pp	1,210	IVR	8
Nanos Research			35.7	25.2	27.6	5.6	4.5	±3.2 pp	1,201	telephone	8.1
Harris-Decima			32	29	25	5	7	±2.2 pp	2,000	telephone	3
Angus Reid			39	28	22	6	5	±3.1 pp	1,000	online	11
Abacus Data			37	28	21	6	7	±3.1 pp	1,000	online	9
Forum Research			35	28	25	6	4	±2.8 pp	1,211	IVR	7
EKOS			31.4	29.5	24.8	6.7	6.1	±2.2 pp	2,005	telephone/online	1.9
Nanos Research			36.5	28.7	25.6	4.4	3.8	±3.3 pp	1,201	telephone	7.8
Forum Research			33	27	21	6	8	±2.9 pp	1,160	IVR	6
Harris-Decima			34	28	22	6	7	±2.2 pp	2,005	telephone	6
Abacus Data			40	31	18	6	5	±3.1 pp	1,004	online	9
Nanos Research			35.6	27.3	28.1	3.9	3.9	±3.2 pp	1,202	telephone	7.5
Ipsos Reid			37	31	21	6	3				6
Harris-Decima			36	29	22	5	7	±2.2 pp	2,000	telephone	7
Nanos Research			37.7	30.0	23.4	3.6	3.8	±3.2 pp	1,202	telephone	7.7
Nanos Research			39.0	29.0	24.5	3.5	2.9	±3.2 pp	1,209	telephone	10.0
Angus Reid			39	29	21	5	4	±2.4 pp	1,668	online	10
Leger Marketing			39	33	17	5	6	±2.4 pp	1,625	online	6
Nanos Research			39.5	33.1	20.7	2.6	3.4	±3.2 pp	1,210	telephone	6.4
Harris-Decima			33	33	21	6	7	±2.2 pp	2,026	telephone	Tie
Abacus Data			38	32	19	5	6	±3.2 pp	1,003	online	6
Angus Reid			39	31	19	6	4	±3.1 pp	1,005	online	8
Nanos Research			36.2	26.8	27.0	4.4	4.5	±3.1 pp	1,203	telephone	9.2
Abacus Data			41	32	17	6	5	±3.2 pp	1,005	online	9
Nanos Research			41.8	28.0	22.3	3.4	3.7	±3.1 pp	1,211	telephone	13.8
Nanos Research			39.7	29.9	21.5	2.7	4.8	±3.1 pp	1,205	telephone	9.8
Harris-Decima			38	33	15	5	7	±2.2 pp	2,000	telephone	5
Abacus Data			40	33	16	6	5	±2.5 pp	1,544	online	7

Election		'	39.6	30.6	18.9	6.0	3.9				9.0

Notes'''

Leadership polls

Aside from conducting the usual opinion surveys on general party preferences, polling firms also survey public opinion on who would make the best Prime Minister:

Polling Firm	Last Date of Polling	Link	Stephen Harper	Thomas Mulcair	Justin Trudeau	Elizabeth May	Margin of Error
Nanos Research			30.1	18.9	35.2	5.3	±2.2 pp
Nanos Research			30.2	19.0	35.0	5.3	±2.5 pp
Nanos Research			30.0	19.3	34.6	5.6	±2.8 pp
Nanos Research			29.2	20.1	33.9	5.8	±2.8 pp
Nanos Research			28.8	19.9	33.0	6.4	±2.8 pp
Ipsos Reid			32	30	38		±3.0 pp
Nanos Research			28.1	20.5	32.3	6.4	±2.8 pp
Nanos Research			28.2	22.6	30.2	5.8	±2.8 pp
Forum Research			26	22	29	8	±3 pp
Nanos Research			28.1	23.1	30.4	5.5	±2.8 pp
Nanos Research			30.8	22.8	29.8	4.9	±2.8 pp
Nanos Research			32.6	19.9	30.8	4.9	±2.8 pp
Forum Research			27	22	28	9	±3 pp
Nanos Research			33.2	18.7	30.4	5.8	±2.8 pp
Nanos Research			31.7	19.0	30.6	5.1	±2.8 pp
Nanos Research			31.1	20.7	30.2	5.4	±2.8 pp
Nanos Research			31.7	22.7	29.4	4.6	±2.8 pp
Nanos Research			32.6	24.4	27.7	4.8	±2.8 pp
Nanos Research			33.2	23.2	28.3	4.4	±2.8 pp
Léger Marketing			24	24	23		±2.1 pp
Nanos Research			32.9	24.1	27.3	4.3	±2.8 pp
Forum Research			29	25	22	9	±3 pp
Nanos Research			32.0	23.5	28.0	4.4	±2.8 pp
Nanos Research			31.4	24.8	27.4	4.0	±2.8 pp
Ipsos Reid			35	34	32		±3.0 pp
Nanos Research			32.4	23.7	25.9	4.5	±2.8 pp
Nanos Research			31.4	23.0	27.8	4.6	±2.8 pp
Nanos Research			30.2	24.4	27.2	5.5	±2.8 pp
Nanos Research			29.2	25.6	29.2	4.9	±2.8 pp
Forum Research			25	24	25	9	±3 pp
Nanos Research			30.1	26.0	28.3	5.1	±2.8 pp
Nanos Research			30.2	26.2	27.1	5.8	±2.8 pp
Nanos Research			30.3	26.1	27.0	6.1	±2.8 pp
Ipsos Reid			30	38	32		±3.4 pp
Nanos Research			29.3	25.9	25.3	6.1	±2.8 pp
Nanos Research			30.0	25.5	26.6	5.2	±2.8 pp
Forum Research			28	24	24	9	±3 pp
Nanos Research			29.7	26.3	25.5	6.0	±2.8 pp
Nanos Research			30.1	28.6	25.4	5.8	±2.8 pp
Nanos Research			31.2	28.1	24.6	6.2	±2.8 pp
Forum Research			25	30	19	8	±3 pp
Nanos Research			31.0	29.1	24.5	5.7	±2.8 pp
Nanos Research			31.6	28.5	24.3	5.9	±2.8 pp
Ipsos Reid			32	36	32		±3.6 pp
Nanos Research			29.4	29.6	25.6	5.2	±2.8 pp
Nanos Research			30.2	28.4	26.3	4.6	±2.8 pp
Nanos Research			29.9	27.0	28.3	4.0	±2.8 pp
Forum Research			25	31	22	7	±3 pp
Nanos Research			30.2	27.3	27.5	4.5	±2.8 pp
Innovative Research			23	24	20	6
Nanos Research			28.2	27.7	28.5	4.5	±2.8 pp
Nanos Research			25.7	29.4	28.0	5.6	±2.8 pp
Ipsos Reid			29	39	32		±3.6 pp
Nanos Research			25.3	29.8	28.2	5.2	±2.8 pp
Leger Marketing			21	25	21		±2.1 pp
Forum Research			24	31	24	8	±3 pp
Nanos Research			29	28	22	5	±3.1 pp
Innovative Research			24	24	18	5
Ipsos Reid			31	37	32		±3.1 pp
Forum Research			22	32	22	8	±3 pp
Angus Reid			26	29	18		±1.2 pp
Nanos Research			29	27	22	4	±3.1 pp
Forum Research			24	29	21	9	±3 pp
Nanos Research			30	26	21	4	±3.1 pp
Leger Marketing			21	28	20		±2.1 pp
Forum Research			25	28	23	7	±3 pp
Nanos Research			31	27	21	3	±3.1 pp
Forum Research			24	31	22	5	±3 pp
Nanos Research			31	28	22	3	±3.1 pp
Innovative Research			27	31	19	6
Forum Research			29	30	19	6	±3 pp
Nanos Research			30	29	22	3	±3.1 pp
Forum Research			25	29	20	6	±3 pp
Nanos Research			29	29	23	4	±3.1 pp
Leger Marketing			25	27	16		±2.5 pp
Forum Research			22	31	21	5	±3 pp
Nanos Research			26	28	25	4	±3.1 pp
Forum Research			25	27	23	6	±3 pp
Nanos Research			27	27	26	4	±3.1 pp
Forum Research			25	29	21	7	±3 pp
Nanos Research			28	25	27	4	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			27	27	27	3	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			29	28	26	3	±3.1 pp
Angus Reid			26	24	19		±1.2 pp
Nanos Research			29	25	27	4	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			29	22	27	4	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			32	20	29	5	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			31	20	29	5	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			31	21	28	5	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			31	21	30	5	±3.1 pp
Leger Marketing			25	19	23		±2.5 pp
Nanos Research			29	21	30	5	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			29	20	31	5	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			31	19	30	4	±3.1 pp
Ipsos Reid			38	31	30		±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			31	18	29	4	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			31	17	31	4	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			34	16	31	4	±3.1 pp
Leger Marketing			25	17	23		±2.5 pp
Nanos Research			34	16	30	4	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			34	17	31	4	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			34	17	31	4	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			33	16	31	4	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			33	16	31	4	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			32	17	31	3	±3.1 pp
Leger Marketing			25	16	23		±2.5 pp
Nanos Research			31	17	31	3	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			31	19	30	4	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			31	18	31	5	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			30	18	31	5	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			33	18	30	4	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			33	18	32	4	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			33	18	31	4	±3.1 pp
Angus Reid			30	16	28		±1.2 pp
Nanos Research			33	19	31	3	±3.1 pp
Leger Marketing			24	16	27		±2.5 pp
Nanos Research			32	20	30	4	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			33	20	29	3	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			32	20	29	3	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			32	20	29	3	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			32	20	30	4	±3.1 pp
Leger Marketing			26	16	28		±2.5 pp
Nanos Research			29	20	32	4	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			29	19	34	5	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			30	18	35	4	±3.1 pp
Leger Marketing			23	17	26		±2.5 pp
Nanos Research			30	17	35	4	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			28	18	36	4	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			28	18	35	3	±3.1 pp
Angus Reid			27	14	27	4	±2.5 pp
Nanos Research			28	18	34	5	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			28	17	34	5	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			29	15	34	5	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			28	15	34	6	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			27	16	32	6	±3.1 pp
Forum Research			29	15	31	8	±2 pp
Nanos Research			26	19	32	6	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			26	19	31	7	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			29	20	29	6	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			30	20	30	5	±3.1 pp
Forum Research			27	16	30	7	±2 pp
Nanos Research			31	18	31	5	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			31	19	29	5	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			29	18	30	7	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			28	17	31	7	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			30	16	30	6	±3.1 pp
Forum Research			28	16	27	8	±2 pp
Nanos Research			28	14	33	7	±3.1 pp
Angus Reid			27	17	23	5	±1.2 pp
Nanos Research			30	14	32	6	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			32	15	30	6	±3.1 pp
Angus Reid			27	17	23	4	±3.4 pp
Forum Research			26	17	28	8	±2 pp
Nanos Research			30	17	30	7	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			31	19	27	6	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			30	19	27	6	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			27	20	27	6	±3.1 pp
Forum Research			25	17	30	10	±2 pp
Nanos Research			29	19	26	6	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			29	19	27	6	±3.1 pp
Angus Reid			27	16	20	4	±3.4 pp
Nanos Research			30	20	27	6	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			31	20	28	6	±3.1 pp
Forum Research			27	17	29	8	±2 pp
Nanos Research			30	18	29	6	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			29	18	31	5	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			27	17	32	6	±3.1 pp
Angus Reid			23	17	24	4	±1.2 pp
Nanos Research			26	18	31	6	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			25	19	32	5	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			28	19	29	5	±3.1 pp
Forum Research			26	16	33	8	±2 pp
Angus Reid			32	22	36	9	±2.5 pp
Nanos Research			28	19	30	4	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			28	19	29	4	±3.1 pp
Ipsos Reid			34	24	42	–	±3.5 pp
Nanos Research			29	19	29	4	±3.1 pp
Forum Research			24	18	29	7	±3 pp
Nanos Research			27	21	29	4	±3.1 pp
Forum Research			25	19	29	7	±2 pp
Nanos Research			28	21	27	4	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			27	20	29	4	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			27	19	29	5	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			27	18	29	5	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			26	18	30	5	±3.1 pp
Forum Research			27	17	29	6	±2 pp
Nanos Research			28	18	27	6	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			27	20	26	6	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			27	20	26	5	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			29	20	27	5	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			27	19	29	5	±3.1 pp
Forum Research			25	17	27	7	±2 pp
Nanos Research			29	17	31	4	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			30	16	32	4	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			30	16	32	5	±3.1 pp
Forum Research			25	15	31	9	±3 pp
Forum Research			25	13	29	7	±3 pp
Abacus Data			24	12	26	4	±2.6 pp
Nanos Research			31	16	32	5	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			30	16	33	5	±3.1 pp
Nanos Research			29	15	31	5	±3.1 pp
Forum Research			27	15	30	6	±3 pp
Harris-Decima			29	14	33	–	±3.1 pp
Forum Research			24	16	32	9	±3 pp
Leger Marketing			23	14	27	6	±2.5 pp
Harris-Decima			31	18	33	–	±3.1 pp

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