Opinion polling in United Kingdom constituencies (2010–2015)
Prior to the 2015 United Kingdom general election, various polling organisations conducted opinion polling in specific constituencies. The results of publicised opinion polling for individual constituencies are detailed in this article. However, most opinion polling covers Great Britain, where the results are published in this article here.
Opinion polls were conducted gradually from the months after the previous general election held on 6 May 2010, and increased in frequency before the general election which took place on 7 May 2015. Though most opinion polls published are for general election voting intention, some polls shown are for voting intention in separate by-elections.
Polls of individual constituencies are expensive compared to national polling and were previously an infrequent practice in the UK. However, a large number of individual constituency polls were carried out in this period, most commissioned from independent polling providers by Lord Ashcroft, a Conservative peer and sponsor. In addition to polls listed in this article, other polling of constituencies has been carried out in private, often by political parties.
Given the expense of polling individual constituencies, constituencies are usually only polled if they are of some particular interest, e.g. they are thought to be marginal or facing an impending by-election. The constituencies polled are not necessarily representative of a national average swing. Under the first-past-the-post electoral system true marginal seats are, by definition, decisive as to the election outcome.
Constituency polls
England
Amber Valley">Amber Valley (UK Parliament constituency)">Amber Valley
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Others | Lead | |||||
7 May 2015 | 2015 result | 44.0% | 34.8% | 3.0% | 15.9% | 2.4% | – | 9.2% | |
3–12 Jul 2014 | 1,000 | 34% | 35% | 4% | 23% | 3% | 2% | 1% | |
14–20 Apr 2014 | 1,000 | 29% | 41% | 6% | 20% | 2% | 2% | 12% | |
6 May 2010 | 45,958 | 38.6% | 37.4% | 14.4% | 2.0% | – | 7.6% | 1.2% |
Bedford">Bedford (UK Parliament constituency)">Bedford
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Others | Lead | |||||
7 May 2015 | 2015 result | 42.6% | 40.2% | 4.2% | 9.6% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 2.4% | |
23–30 Jul 2014 | 1,000 | 28% | 38% | 14% | 15% | 3% | 2% | 10% | |
6 May 2010 | 45,102 | 38.9% | 35.9% | 19.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% |
Bermondsey and Old Southwark">Bermondsey and Old Southwark (UK Parliament constituency)">Bermondsey and Old Southwark
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Others | Lead | |||||
7 May 2015 | 2015 result | 11.8% | 43.1% | 34.3% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 8.7% | |
3–13 Sep 2014 | 1,000 | 14% | 35% | 36% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
6 May 2010 | 44,651 | 17.1% | 29.2% | 48.4% | – | 1.6% | 3.7% | 19.1% |
Berwick-upon-Tweed">Berwick-upon-Tweed (UK Parliament constituency)">Berwick-upon-Tweed
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Others | Lead | |||||
7 May 2015 | 2015 result | 41.1% | 14.9% | 28.9% | 11.2% | 3.7% | 0.2% | 12.2% | |
21–28 Aug 2014 | 1,000 | 33% | 16% | 30% | 17% | 3% | 1% | 3% | |
6 May 2010 | 38,439 | 36.7% | 13.2% | 43.7% | 3.2% | – | 3.2% | 7% |
Birmingham Edgbaston">Birmingham Edgbaston (UK Parliament constituency)">Birmingham Edgbaston
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | Lib Dem | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Others | Lead | |||||
7 May 2015 | 41,293 | 44.8% | 38.3% | 2.9% | 10.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | |
31 Jul–11 Aug 2014 | 1001 | 48% | 29% | 3% | 12% | 5% | 1% | 19% | |
12–18 May 2014 | 1000 | 44% | 33% | 5% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 11% | |
6 May 2010 | 41,571 | 40.6% | 37.6% | 15.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% |
Birmingham Yardley">Birmingham Yardley (UK Parliament constituency)">Birmingham Yardley
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | Lib Dem | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Others | Lead | |||||
7 May 2015 | 41,313 | 41.6% | 14.0% | 25.6% | 16.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 16.0% | |
27–31 Oct 2014 | 1,000 | 31% | 12% | 34% | 19% | 2% | 1% | 3% | |
6 May 2010 | 40,850 | 32.2% | 19.2% | 39.6% | 2.9% | – | – | 7.3% |
Blackpool North and Cleveleys">Blackpool North and Cleveleys (UK Parliament constituency)">Blackpool North and Cleveleys
Bognor Regis and Littlehampton">Bognor Regis and Littlehampton (UK Parliament constituency)">Bognor Regis and Littlehampton
Bolton West">Bolton West (UK Parliament constituency)">Bolton West
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
7 May 2015 | 47,576 | 39.0% | 40.6% | 4.0% | 15.3% | - | 1.1% | 1.6% | |
23–31 Jul 2014 | 1,000 | 40% | 27% | 8% | 21% | 2% | 2% | 13% | |
21–27 Apr 2014 | 1,001 | 41% | 28% | 10% | 17% | 2% | 1% | 13% | |
6 May 2010 | 47,576 | 38.5% | 38.3% | 17.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Boston and Skegness">Boston and Skegness (UK Parliament constituency)">Boston and Skegness
Bradford East">Bradford East (UK Parliament constituency)">Bradford East
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | BNP | Others | Lead |
7 May 2015 | 41,406 | 46.6% | 11.3% | 29.3% | 9.9% | 2.1% | - | 0.5% | 17.1% | |
1–21 Jun 2014 | 1,000 | 45% | 12% | 23% | 15% | 2% | – | 3% | 22% | |
6 May 2010 | 40,457 | 32.8% | 26.8% | 33.7% | – | – | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
Brent Central">Brent Central (UK Parliament constituency)">Brent Central
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
7 May 2015 | 45,324 | 62.1% | 20.3% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 41.8% | |
11–22 Jun 2014 | 1,001 | 54% | 13% | 19% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 35% | |
6 May 2010 | 45,324 | 41.2% | 11.2% | 44.2% | – | 1.5% | 2% | 3.0% |
Brentford and Isleworth">Brentford and Isleworth (UK Parliament constituency)">Brentford and Isleworth
Brighton Kemptown">Brighton Kemptown (UK Parliament constituency)">Brighton Kemptown
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
7 May 2015 | 45,306 | 39.2% | 40.7% | 3.0% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
11–21 Sep 2014 | 1,000 | 37% | 33% | 6% | 13% | 10% | 1% | 4% | |
6 May 2010 | 42,705 | 34.9% | 38.0% | 18.0% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 0.5% | 3.1% |
Brighton Pavilion">Brighton Pavilion (UK Parliament constituency)">Brighton Pavilion
Bristol North West">Bristol North West (UK Parliament constituency)">Bristol North West
Bristol West">Bristol West (UK Parliament constituency)">Bristol West
Broxtowe">Broxtowe (UK Parliament constituency)">Broxtowe
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | BNP | Others | Lead |
26 Jun–4 Jul 2014 | 1,000 | 30% | 39% | 7% | 18% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 9% | |
8–13 Apr 2014 | 1,000 | 30% | 44% | 10% | 13% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 14% | |
6 May 2010 | 52,727 | 39.0% | 38.3% | 16.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 2.7% | – | 0.7% |
Burnley">Burnley (UK Parliament constituency)">Burnley
Bury North">Bury North (UK Parliament constituency)">Bury North
Camborne and Redruth">Camborne and Redruth (UK Parliament constituency)">Camborne and Redruth
Cambridge">Cambridge (UK Parliament constituency)">Cambridge
Cannock Chase">Cannock Chase (UK Parliament constituency)">Cannock Chase
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | BNP | Others | Lead |
16–24 Apr 2015 | 1,002 | 38% | 32% | 5% | 21% | 3% | – | 1% | 6% | |
22–27 Oct 2014 | 1,000 | 32% | 27% | 8% | 30% | 2% | – | 1% | 2% | |
6 May 2010 | 45,559 | 33.1% | 40.1% | 17.0% | 3.5% | – | 4.8% | 1.6% | 7% |
Carlisle">Carlisle (UK Parliament constituency)">Carlisle
Carshalton and Wallington">Carshalton and Wallington (UK Parliament constituency)">Carshalton and Wallington
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
29 Oct–6 Nov 2014 | 1,000 | 12% | 23% | 43% | 17% | 3% | 1% | 20% | |
6 May 2010 | 45,918 | 8.7% | 36.8% | 48.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 11.5% |
Castle Point">Castle Point (UK Parliament constituency)">Castle Point
Cheadle">Cheadle (UK Parliament constituency)">Cheadle
Cheltenham">Cheltenham (UK Parliament constituency)">Cheltenham
Chippenham">Chippenham (UK Parliament constituency)">Chippenham
City of Chester">City of Chester (UK Parliament constituency)">City of Chester
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
26 Feb-5 Mar 2015 | 1,000 | 45% | 34% | 7% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 11% | |
13–18 Oct 2014 | 1,000 | 37% | 36% | 7% | 15% | 5% | 1% | 1% | |
6 May 2010 | 46,853 | 35.1% | 40.6% | 19.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 5.5% |
Clacton">Clacton (UK Parliament constituency)">Clacton
Cleethorpes">Cleethorpes (UK Parliament constituency)">Cleethorpes
Colchester">Colchester (UK Parliament constituency)">Colchester
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
4–14 Nov 2014 | 1,000 | 17% | 22% | 36% | 18% | 6% | 1% | 14% | |
6 May 2010 | 46,139 | 12.3% | 32.9% | 48.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 15.1% |
Colne Valley">Colne Valley (UK Parliament constituency)">Colne Valley
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
16–22 April 2015 | 1,000 | 35% | 37% | 8% | 11% | 6% | 2% | 2% | |
2–12 Feb 2015 | 1,000 | 34% | 33% | 9% | 13% | 9% | 1% | 1% | |
6 May 2010 | 55,296 | 26.4% | 37.0% | 28.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 4.7% | 8.7% |
Corby">Corby (UK Parliament constituency)">Corby
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
10–17 Sep 2014 | 1,000 | 40% | 30% | 5% | 21% | 2% | 2% | 10% | |
15 Nov 2012 | Corby by-election Result | 35,665 | 48.4% | 26.6% | 5.0% | 14.3% | 1.1% | 4.6% | 21.8% |
6 May 2010 | 54,180 | 38.6% | 42.2% | 14.5% | – | – | 4.7% | 3.6% |
Crewe and Nantwich">Crewe and Nantwich (UK Parliament constituency)">Crewe and Nantwich
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | UKIP | LD | Others | Lead |
2–9 Apr 2015 | 1,000 | 38% | 41% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 3% | |
22–24 Nov 2013 | 500 | 33% | 46% | 11% | 6% | 5% | 13% | |
6 May 2010 | 51,084 | 45.8% | 34.0% | 2.8% | 15.0% | 2.3% | 11.8% |
Croydon Central">Croydon Central (UK Parliament constituency)">Croydon Central
Derby North">Derby North (UK Parliament constituency)">Derby North
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
28 May-4 Jun 2014 | 1,000 | 23% | 44% | 17% | 12% | 2% | 2% | 21% | |
6 May 2010 | 45,080 | 31.7% | 33% | 28% | 1.8% | – | 5.4% | 1.3% |
Dewsbury">Dewsbury (UK Parliament constituency)">Dewsbury
Doncaster North">Doncaster North (UK Parliament constituency)">Doncaster North
Note: Michael Ashcroft initially published , erroneously showing only a small Labour lead. The corrected poll results are below.Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | BNP | Others | Lead |
18–23 Nov 2014 | 1,000 | 13% | 54% | 4% | 25% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 29% | |
6 May 2010 | 41,483 | 21.0% | 47.3% | 14.9% | 4.3% | – | 6.8% | 5.6% | 26.3% |
Dover">Dover (UK Parliament constituency)">Dover
Dudley North">Dudley North (UK Parliament constituency)">Dudley North
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | UKIP | LD | Others | Lead |
20–27 Nov 2014 | 1,001 | 37% | 24% | 34% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |
28 Apr–4 May 2014 | 1,000 | 40% | 24% | 27% | 4% | 5% | 13% | |
22–24 Nov 2013 | 526 | 45% | 25% | 23% | 2% | 5% | 20% | |
6 May 2010 | 38,602 | 38.7% | 37.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
Dudley South">Dudley South (UK Parliament constituency)">Dudley South
Ealing Central and Acton">Ealing Central and Acton (UK Parliament constituency)">Ealing Central and Acton
Eastbourne">Eastbourne (UK Parliament constituency)">Eastbourne
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
27 Aug-5 Sep 2014 | 1,000 | 7% | 25% | 46% | 18% | 2% | 2% | 21% | |
6 May 2010 | 52,142 | 4.8% | 40.7% | 47.3% | 2.5% | - | 4.6% | 6.6% |
Eastleigh">Eastleigh (UK Parliament constituency)">Eastleigh
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | LD | Con | UKIP | Lab | Green | Others | Lead |
20–28 Aug 2014 | 538 | 40% | 25% | 21% | 12% | 2% | 1% | 15% | |
29 May–6 Jun 2014 | 523 | 39% | 27% | 22% | 10% | 2% | 0% | 12% | |
14–17 Apr 2014 | 369 | 27.1% | 28.2% | 31.6% | 11.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 3.4% | |
28 Feb 2013 | Eastleigh by-election Result | 42,649 | 32.1% | 25.4% | 27.8% | 9.8% | – | 4.9% | 4.3% |
22–24 Feb 2013 | 416 | 33% | 28% | 23% | 12% | – | 4% | 5% | |
19–22 Feb 2013 | 408 | 33% | 28% | 25% | 11% | – | 4% | 5% | |
18–22 Feb 2013 | 402 | 29% | 33% | 21% | 13% | – | 4% | 4% | |
6–8 Feb 2013 | 321 | 36% | 33% | 16% | 13% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 3% | |
4–5 Feb 2013 | 314 | 31% | 34% | 15% | 19% | 1% | 1% | 3% | |
2–5 Aug 2010 | 513 | 31% | 43% | – | 20% | – | 6% | 12% | |
6 May 2010 | 53,650 | 46.5% | 39.3% | 3.6% | 9.6% | – | 1.0% | 7.2% |
Elmet and Rothwell">Elmet and Rothwell (UK Parliament constituency)">Elmet and Rothwell
Enfield North">Enfield North (UK Parliament constituency)">Enfield North
Erewash">Erewash (UK Parliament constituency)">Erewash
Finchley and Golders Green">Finchley and Golders Green (UK Parliament constituency)">Finchley and Golders Green
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Lead |
7-11 Apr 2015 | 1,001 | 43% | 41% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 2% | |
6 May 2010 | 47,157 | 33.7% | 46% | 17% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 12.3% |
Folkestone and Hythe">Folkestone and Hythe (UK Parliament constituency)">Folkestone and Hythe
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | LD | UKIP | Lab | Green | Others | Lead |
3–4 Apr 2014 | 529 | 36.4% | 9.6% | 32.9% | 17.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.5% | |
22–24 Nov 2013 | 548 | 35% | 10% | 28% | 21% | 4% | 2% | 7% | |
6 May 2010 | 52,800 | 49.4% | 30.3% | 4.6% | 10.8% | 1.2% | 3.6% | 19.1% |
Gloucester">Gloucester (UK Parliament constituency)">Gloucester
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
24 Mar–4 Apr 2015 | 1,001 | 40% | 36% | 9% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 4% | |
24 Sep–2 Oct 2014 | 1,000 | 34% | 33% | 12% | 18% | 3% | 0% | 1% | |
6 May 2010 | 50,764 | 39.9% | 35.2% | 19.2% | 3.6% | 1% | 1.1% | 4.8% |
Great Grimsby">Great Grimsby (UK Parliament constituency)">Great Grimsby
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | UKIP | LD | Others | Lead |
15–24 Apr 2015 | 1000 | 42% | 24% | 25% | 5% | 4% | 17% | |
20–27 Nov 2014 | 1,001 | 35% | 20% | 34% | 8% | 4% | 1% | |
5–11 May 2014 | 1,001 | 38% | 21% | 26% | 10% | 5% | 12% | |
18–22 Oct 2013 | 506 | 40% | 21% | 23% | 11% | 5% | 17% | |
6 May 2010 | 32,954 | 32.7% | 30.5% | 6.2% | 22.4% | 8.1% | 2.2% |
Great Yarmouth">Great Yarmouth (UK Parliament constituency)">Great Yarmouth
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | UKIP | LD | Green | Others | Lead |
15–24 Apr 2015 | 1,000 | 36% | 34% | 24% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 2% | |
11–16 Jul 2014 | 1,000 | 33% | 28% | 32% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% | |
21–27 Apr 2014 | 1,001 | 32% | 31% | 29% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | |
22–24 Nov 2013 | 507 | 27% | 37% | 30% | 3% | 2% | 7% | ||
6 May 2010 | 43,057 | 43.1% | 33.2% | 4.8% | 14.4% | 1.0% | 3.5% | 9.9% |
Halesowen and Rowley Regis">Halesowen and Rowley Regis (UK Parliament constituency)">Halesowen and Rowley Regis
Halifax">Halifax (UK Parliament constituency)">Halifax
Hampstead and Kilburn">Hampstead and Kilburn (UK Parliament constituency)">Hampstead and Kilburn
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | UKIP | LD | Green | Others | Lead |
23 Jul–3 Aug 2014 | 1,000 | 30% | 47% | 2% | 13% | 6% | 1% | 17% | |
21–27 Apr 2014 | 1,003 | 30% | 41% | 3% | 19% | 6% | 0% | 11% | |
6 May 2010 | 52,822 | 32.7% | 32.8% | 0.8% | 31.2% | 1.4% | 1% | 0.1% |
Harlow">Harlow (UK Parliament constituency)">Harlow
Harrogate and Knaresborough">Harrogate and Knaresborough (UK Parliament constituency)">Harrogate and Knaresborough
Harrow East">Harrow East (UK Parliament constituency)">Harrow East
Hastings and Rye">Hastings and Rye (UK Parliament constituency)">Hastings and Rye
Hazel Grove">Hazel Grove (UK Parliament constituency)">Hazel Grove
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Lead |
4–15 Nov 2014 | 1,000 | 15% | 29% | 35% | 17% | 4% | 6% | |
6 May 2010 | 41,981 | 12.5% | 33.6% | 48.8% | 5.1% | – | 15.2% |
Hendon">Hendon (UK Parliament constituency)">Hendon
Heywood and Middleton">Heywood and Middleton (UK Parliament constituency)">Heywood and Middleton
High Peak">High Peak (UK Parliament constituency)">High Peak
Hornsey and Wood Green">Hornsey and Wood Green (UK Parliament constituency)">Hornsey and Wood Green
Hove">Hove (UK Parliament constituency)">Hove
Ipswich">Ipswich (UK Parliament constituency)">Ipswich
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
24 Sep-2 Oct 2014 | 1,000 | 38% | 31% | 6% | 19% | 5% | 1% | 7% | |
6 May 2010 | 46,291 | 34.7% | 39.1% | 18.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% |
Keighley">Keighley (UK Parliament constituency)">Keighley
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
20-26 Oct 2014 | 1,000 | 37% | 31% | 5% | 23% | 3% | 1% | 6% | |
6 May 2010 | 47,692 | 35.8% | 41.9% | 14.8% | 3.1% | - | 4.4% | 6.1% |
Kingston and Surbiton">Kingston and Surbiton (UK Parliament constituency)">Kingston and Surbiton
Kingswood">Kingswood (UK Parliament constituency)">Kingswood
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
28 Mar–3 Apr 2015 | 1,001 | 42% | 33% | 5% | 15% | 4% | 1% | 9% | |
3-14 Oct 2014 | 1,001 | 34% | 32% | 6% | 23% | 4% | 1% | 2% | |
6 May 2010 | 47,906 | 40.4% | 35.3% | 16.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% |
Lancaster and Fleetwood">Lancaster and Fleetwood (UK Parliament constituency)">Lancaster and Fleetwood
Lewes">Lewes (UK Parliament constituency)">Lewes
Lincoln">Lincoln (UK Parliament constituency)">Lincoln
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
14-21 Jul 2014 | 1,000 | 39% | 35% | 6% | 17% | 3% | 1% | 4% | |
6 May 2010 | 45,721 | 35.2% | 37.5% | 20.2% | 2.2% | - | 4.8% | 2.3% |
Loughborough">Loughborough (UK Parliament constituency)">Loughborough
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
31 Mar–3 Apr 2015 | 1,000 | 45% | 36% | 3% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 9% | |
22-25 Oct 2014 | 1,000 | 40% | 37% | 5% | 12% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |
6 May 2010 | 52,838 | 41.6% | 34.5% | 18.3% | 1.8% | - | 3.9% | 7.1% |
Manchester Withington">Manchester Withington (UK Parliament constituency)">Manchester Withington
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
11–21 Jun 2014 | 1,000 | 56% | 7% | 22% | 4% | 10% | 1% | 34% | |
6 May 2010 | 45,075 | 40.5% | 11.1% | 44.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 4.1% |
Mid Dorset and North Poole">Mid Dorset and North Poole (UK Parliament constituency)">Mid Dorset and North Poole
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
31 Jul–9 Aug 2014 | 1,000 | 38% | 8% | 32% | 19% | 3% | 1% | 6% | |
12–18 May 2014 | 1,000 | 39% | 8% | 32% | 17% | 3% | 1% | 7% | |
6 May 2010 | 46,788 | 44.5% | 5.9% | 45.1% | 4.5% | - | - | 0.6% |
Milton Keynes South">Milton Keynes South (UK Parliament constituency)">Milton Keynes South
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
7-10 Apr 2015 | 1,000 | 37% | 39% | 8% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 2% | |
6 May 2010 | 55,333 | 41.6% | 32.2% | 17.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 9.4% |
Morecambe and Lunesdale">Morecambe and Lunesdale (UK Parliament constituency)">Morecambe and Lunesdale
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
1-4 Apr 2015 | 1,000 | 36% | 42% | 5% | 12% | 5% | 1% | 6% | |
7-11 Jul 2014 | 1,001 | 34% | 37% | 6% | 18% | 4% | 2% | 3% | |
14-20 Apr 2014 | 1,000 | 37% | 39% | 5% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 2% | |
6 May 2010 | 43,436 | 41.5% | 39.5% | 13.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% | - | 2% |
Morley and Outwood">Morley and Outwood (UK Parliament constituency)">Morley and Outwood
Newark">Newark (UK Parliament constituency)">Newark
Newton Abbot">Newton Abbot (UK Parliament constituency)">Newton Abbot
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
5-12 Jun 2014 | 1,000 | 13% | 39% | 20% | 20% | 7% | 1% | 19% | |
6 May 2010 | 48,283 | 7% | 43% | 41.9% | 6.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% |
North Cornwall">North Cornwall (UK Parliament constituency)">North Cornwall
North Devon">North Devon (UK Parliament constituency)">North Devon
North East Cambridgeshire">North East Cambridgeshire (UK Parliament constituency)">North East Cambridgeshire
North East Somerset">North East Somerset (UK Parliament constituency)">North East Somerset
North Warwickshire">North Warwickshire (UK Parliament constituency)">North Warwickshire
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
18–28 Jun 2014 | 1,000 | 41% | 30% | 2% | 22% | 2% | 2% | 11% | |
31 Mar–6 Apr 2014 | 1,001 | 43% | 35% | 3% | 15% | 3% | 1% | 8% | |
6 May 2010 | 47,265 | 40.1% | 40.2% | 11.6% | 2.8% | – | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Norwich North">Norwich North (UK Parliament constituency)">Norwich North
Norwich South">Norwich South (UK Parliament constituency)">Norwich South
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
11–21 Jun 2014 | 1,000 | 33% | 18% | 12% | 15% | 20% | 1% | 13% | |
6 May 2010 | 47,551 | 28.7% | 22.9% | 29.4% | 2.4% | 14.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
Nuneaton">Nuneaton (UK Parliament constituency)">Nuneaton
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | BNP | Others | Lead |
26 Feb-5 Mar 2015 | 1,000 | 39% | 34% | 4% | 14% | 8% | – | 1% | 5% | |
24 Sep–3 Oct 2014 | 1,000 | 39% | 36% | 3% | 19% | 2% | – | 1% | 3% | |
6 May 2010 | 44,646 | 36.9% | 41.5% | 15.3% | – | – | 6.3% | - | 4.6% |
Oxford West and Abingdon">Oxford West and Abingdon (UK Parliament constituency)">Oxford West and Abingdon
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
21–28 Aug 2014 | 1,000 | 18% | 38% | 30% | 9% | 4% | <0.5% | 8% | |
30 May–5 Jun 2014 | 1,000 | 18% | 36% | 25% | 11% | 8% | 1% | 11% | |
6 May 2010 | 56,480 | 10.6% | 42.3% | 42.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
Pendle">Pendle (UK Parliament constituency)">Pendle
Plymouth Moor View">Plymouth Moor View (UK Parliament constituency)">Plymouth Moor View
Plymouth Sutton & Devonport">Plymouth Sutton and Devonport (UK Parliament constituency)">Plymouth Sutton & Devonport
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
15–23 Jul 2014 | 506 | 39% | 26% | 6% | 21% | 8% | 1% | 8% | |
6 May 2010 | 43,894 | 31.7% | 34.3% | 24.7% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 2.6% |
Portsmouth South">Portsmouth South (UK Parliament constituency)">Portsmouth South
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
29 Oct–6 Nov 2014 | 1,001 | 20% | 30% | 25% | 17% | 6% | 1% | 5% | |
6 May 2010 | 41,264 | 13.7% | 33.3% | 45.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 12.6% |
Redcar">Redcar (UK Parliament constituency)">Redcar
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
27 Aug–6 Sep 2014 | 1,000 | 44% | 12% | 18% | 23% | 2% | 1% | 21% | |
17–19 Apr 2014 | 500 | 47% | 15% | 15% | 19% | 2% | 2% | 28% | |
6 May 2010 | 41,963 | 32.7% | 13.8% | 45.2% | 4.5% | – | 3.8% | 12.5% |
Rochester and Strood">Rochester and Strood (UK Parliament constituency)">Rochester and Strood
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
15–22 April 2015 | 1000 | 36% | 24% | 3% | 33% | 4% | 1% | 3% | |
20 Nov 2014 | Rochester and Strood by-election Result | 40,065 | 34.8% | 16.8% | 0.9% | 42.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 7.3% |
7–10 Nov 2014 | 543 | 36% | 21% | 2% | 35% | 5% | 1% | 1% | |
7–10 Nov 2014 | 543 | 32% | 17% | 2% | 44% | 4% | 1% | 12% | |
27–28 Oct 2014 | 1,012 | 33% | 16% | 1% | 48% | 1.7% | 2% | 15% | |
17–21 Oct 2014 | 949 | 30% | 21% | 3% | 43% | 2% | 1% | 13% | |
4 Oct 2014 | 677 | 31% | 25% | 2% | 40% | 1% | 0.4% | 9% | |
6 May 2010 | 47,971 | 49.2% | 28.5% | 16.3% | – | 1.5% | 4.5% | 20.7% |
Rother Valley">Rother Valley (UK Parliament constituency)">Rother Valley
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | UKIP | LD | Green | BNP | Others | Lead |
24–29 Nov 2014 | 480 | 18% | 40% | 34% | 4% | 3% | <0.5% | 2% | 6% | |
6 May 2010 | 46,768 | 28.4% | 40.9% | 5.6% | 17.3% | – | 7.7% | – | 12.5% |
Sheffield Hallam">Sheffield Hallam (UK Parliament constituency)">Sheffield Hallam
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
4 May 2015 | 1 | 501 | 35% | 12% | 42% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 7% |
22–28 Apr 2015 | 1,000 | 37% | 15% | 36% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 1% | |
22–28 Mar 2015 | 1,001 | 36% | 16% | 34% | 7% | 6% | 1% | 2% | |
22–29 Jan 2015 | 1,011 | 33% | 22% | 23% | 9% | 12% | <0.5% | 10% | |
20–22 Nov 2014 | 962 | 30% | 19% | 27% | 13% | 10% | 1% | 3% | |
29 Apr–4 May 2014 | 500 | 33% | 24% | 23% | 10% | 8% | 1% | 9% | |
1–4 Oct 2010 | 1,000 | 31% | 28% | 33% | N/A | N/A | 8% | 2% | |
6 May 2010 | 51,135 | 16.1% | 23.5% | 53.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 29.9% |
1: These figures represent the results when respondents were presented with named candidates. When asked to think only about the political parties the figures showed a small Labour lead.
Solihull">Solihull (UK Parliament constituency)">Solihull
Southampton Itchen">Southampton Itchen (UK Parliament constituency)">Southampton Itchen
South Basildon and East Thurrock">South Basildon and East Thurrock (UK Parliament constituency)">South Basildon and East Thurrock
South Swindon">South Swindon (UK Parliament constituency)">South Swindon
South Thanet">South Thanet (UK Parliament constituency)">South Thanet
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | UKIP | LD | Others | Lead |
22-28 Apr 2015 | 1,000 | 34% | 26% | 32% | 3% | 5% | 2% | |
22 April 2015 | 1,057 | 30% | 26% | 39% | 2% | 3% | 9% | |
13-18 March 2015 | 1,003 | 31% | 29% | 30% | 5% | 5% | 1% | |
18–20 Feb 2015 | 1,011 | 27% | 28% | 38% | 2% | 5% | 10% | |
23–24 Nov 2014 | 1,003 | 33% | 27% | 32% | 4% | 4% | 1% | |
11–16 July 2014 | 1,000 | 29% | 29% | 33% | 4% | 5% | 4% | |
21–27 April 2014 | 1,000 | 32% | 31% | 27% | 7% | 3% | 1% | |
22–24 Nov 2013 | 515 | 28% | 35% | 30% | 5% | 2% | 5% | |
6 May 2010 | 45,933 | 48.0% | 31.4% | 5.5% | 15.1% | – | 16.6% |
South West Surrey">South West Surrey (UK Parliament constituency)">South West Surrey
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | LD | UKIP | Lab | Green | Others | Lead |
4–5 Dec 2014 | 587 | 57% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 1% | 42% | |
6 May 2010 | 57,259 | 58.7% | 30.2% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 28.5% |
St Austell and Newquay">St Austell and Newquay (UK Parliament constituency)">St Austell and Newquay
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
15 Mar 2015 | 1002 | 32% | 10% | 26% | 20% | 6% | 4% | 6% | |
6–16 Aug 2014 | 493 | 27% | 13% | 26% | 25% | 6% | 3% | 1% | |
19–25 May 2014 | 473 | 32% | 10% | 24% | 25% | 4% | 5% | 7% | |
6 May 2010 | 47,238 | 40.0% | 7.2% | 42.7% | 3.7% | – | 6.4% | 2.8% |
Stevenage">Stevenage (UK Parliament constituency)">Stevenage
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
8–13 Dec 2014 | 497 | 38% | 33% | 7% | 18% | 3% | 0% | 5% | |
6 May 2010 | 44,651 | 33.4% | 41.4% | 16.6% | 4.5% | – | 4.1% | 8.0% |
Stockton South">Stockton South (UK Parliament constituency)">Stockton South
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
31 Mar–4 Apr 2015 | 1000 | 39% | 44% | 3% | 9% | 1% | 3% | 5% | |
6–12 Nov 2014 | 571 | 39.1% | 36.5% | 2.8% | 18.2% | 3.1% | 0.2% | 2.6% | |
26 Jun–4 Jul 2014 | 521 | 35% | 38% | 4% | 19% | 2% | 2% | 3% | |
7–13 Apr 2014 | 512 | 36% | 43% | 5% | 12% | 0% | 3% | 7% | |
6 May 2010 | 50,284 | 38.9% | 38.3% | 15.1% | 2.9% | – | 4.8% | 0.6% |
Stroud">Stroud (UK Parliament constituency)">Stroud
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
11–16 Jul 2014 | 561 | 30% | 41% | 6% | 11% | 11% | <0.5% | 11% | |
6 May 2010 | 57,973 | 40.8% | 38.6% | 15.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 2.2% |
Sutton and Cheam">Sutton and Cheam (UK Parliament constituency)">Sutton and Cheam
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
6-16 August 2014 | 1,000 | 11% | 27% | 45% | 14% | 3% | 0% | 18% | |
6 May 2010 | 48,508 | 7.0% | 42.4% | 45.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% |
Thurrock">Thurrock (UK Parliament constituency)">Thurrock
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | UKIP | LD | Others | Lead |
7 May 2015 | 49,964 | 33.7% | 32.6% | 31.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
17-23 April 2015 | 1,000 | 30% | 31% | 35% | 1% | 3% | 4% | |
18–26 June 2014 | 1,002 | 28% | 30% | 36% | 2% | 4% | 6% | |
31 Mar–6 Apr 2014 | 394 | 27% | 37% | 29% | 4% | 3% | 8% | |
6 May 2010 | 45,822 | 36.8% | 36.6% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 0.2% |
Torbay">Torbay (UK Parliament constituency)">Torbay
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | Con | LD | UKIP | Green | Others | Lead |
7 May 2015 | 48,079 | 8.7% | 40.7% | 33.8% | 13.6% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 6.9% | |
12-21 Mar 2015 | 1,000 | 11% | 33% | 34% | 17% | 3% | 1% | 1% | |
27 Aug - 6 Sep 2014 | 1,001 | 15% | 30% | 30% | 21% | 3% | 1% | Tied | |
6 May 2010 | 49,210 | 6.6% | 38.7% | 47.0% | 5.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 8.3% |
Twickenham">Twickenham (UK Parliament constituency)">Twickenham
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | UKIP | LD | Green | BNP | Others | Lead |
11-16 Apr 2014 | 501 | 34% | 23% | 5% | 32% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 2% | |
6 May 2010 | 59,721 | 34.1% | 7.7% | 1.5% | 54.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 20.3% |
Warwick & Leamington">Warwick and Leamington (UK Parliament constituency)">Warwick & Leamington
Watford">Watford (UK Parliament constituency)">Watford
Weaver Vale">Weaver Vale (UK Parliament constituency)">Weaver Vale
Wirral West">Wirral West (UK Parliament constituency)">Wirral West
Witney">Witney (UK Parliament constituency)">Witney
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | LD | UKIP | Lab | Green | Others | Lead |
2–4 Dec 2014 | 531 | 53% | 4% | 19% | 16% | 7% | 1% | 34% | |
6 May 2010 | 57,769 | 58.8% | 19.4% | 3.5% | 13.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 39.4% |
Worcester">Worcester (UK Parliament constituency)">Worcester
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | BNP | Others | Lead |
3–12 Mar 2015 | 1,002 | 38% | 33% | 4% | 15% | 7% | – | 2% | 5% | |
13–19 Oct 2014 | 1,002 | 34% | 36% | 5% | 17% | 7% | – | 1% | 2% | |
6 May 2010 | 48,974 | 39.5% | 33.4% | 19.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 6.1% |
Wyre Forest">Wyre Forest (UK Parliament constituency)">Wyre Forest
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | BNP | ICHC | Others | Lead |
11–20 Nov 2014 | 518 | 32% | 16% | 7% | 27% | 5% | <1% | - | 13% | 5% | |
6 May 2010 | 50,899 | 36.9% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 2.9% | – | 2.2% | 31.7% | – | 5.2% |
Wythenshawe and Sale East">Wythenshawe and Sale East (UK Parliament constituency)">Wythenshawe and Sale East
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Lab | UKIP | Con | LD | Others | Lead |
13 Feb 2014 | Wythenshawe by-election Result | 23,961 | 55.3% | 18.0% | 14.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 37.3% |
3–5 Feb 2014 | 1,009 | 61% | 15% | 14% | 5% | 4% | 46% | |
6 May 2010 | 40,751 | 44.1% | 3.4% | 25.6% | 22.3% | 4.6% | 18.6% |
Northern Ireland
Belfast East">Belfast East (UK Parliament constituency)">Belfast East
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | DUP | APNI | UUP | PUP | TUV | SF | UKIP | Green | SDLP | Others | Lead |
7 May 2015 | 39,682 | 49.3% | 42.8% | – | – | – | 2.1% | – | – | 0.3% | 2.8% | 6.5% | |
12–28 Jan 2015 | 820 | 34.4% | 28.7% | 14.6% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | |
6 May 2010 | 34,488 | 32.8% | 37.2% | 21.2% | – | 5.4% | 2.4% | – | – | 1.1% | – | 4.4% |
Scotland
Airdrie and Shotts">Airdrie and Shotts (UK Parliament constituency)">Airdrie and Shotts
Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock">Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock (UK Parliament constituency)">Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk">Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk (UK Parliament constituency)">Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk
Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill">Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill (UK Parliament constituency)">Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill
Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East">Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East (UK Parliament constituency)">Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East
Dumfries and Galloway">Dumfries and Galloway (UK Parliament constituency)">Dumfries and Galloway
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale">Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale (UK Parliament constituency)">Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale
Dundee West">Dundee West (UK Parliament constituency)">Dundee West
East Dunbartonshire">East Dunbartonshire (UK Parliament constituency)">East Dunbartonshire
East Renfrewshire">East Renfrewshire (UK Parliament constituency)">East Renfrewshire
Edinburgh North and Leith">Edinburgh North and Leith (UK Parliament constituency)">Edinburgh North and Leith
Edinburgh South">Edinburgh South (UK Parliament constituency)">Edinburgh South
Edinburgh South West">Edinburgh South West (UK Parliament constituency)">Edinburgh South West
Glasgow Central">Glasgow Central (UK Parliament constituency)">Glasgow Central
Glasgow East">Glasgow East (UK Parliament constituency)">Glasgow East
Glasgow North">Glasgow North (UK Parliament constituency)">Glasgow North
Glasgow North East">Glasgow North East (UK Parliament constituency)">Glasgow North East
Glasgow North West">Glasgow North West (UK Parliament constituency)">Glasgow North West
Glasgow South">Glasgow South (UK Parliament constituency)">Glasgow South
Glasgow South West">Glasgow South West (UK Parliament constituency)">Glasgow South West
Gordon">Gordon (UK Parliament constituency)">Gordon
Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey">Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey (UK Parliament constituency)">Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch and Strathspey
Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath">Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath (UK Parliament constituency)">Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
19–26 Feb 2015 | 1,000 | 7% | 39% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 45% | 0% | 6% | |
6 May 2010 | 45,802 | 9.3% | 64.5% | 9.3% | 1.7% | – | 14.3% | 0.9% | 50.2% |
Motherwell and Wishaw">Motherwell and Wishaw (UK Parliament constituency)">Motherwell and Wishaw
Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | Sample size | Con | Lab | LD | UKIP | Green | SNP | Others | Lead |
14–22 Jan 2015 | 1,000 | 5% | 39% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 50% | 1% | 11% | |
6 May 2010 | 39,123 | 9.4% | 61.1% | 9.8% | – | – | 18.2% | 1.6% | 42.9% |
North East Fife">North East Fife (UK Parliament constituency)">North East Fife
Paisley and Renfrewshire South">Paisley and Renfrewshire South (UK Parliament constituency)">Paisley and Renfrewshire South
Ross, Skye and Lochaber">Ross, Skye and Lochaber (UK Parliament constituency)">Ross, Skye and Lochaber
West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine">West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine (UK Parliament constituency)">West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine
West Dunbartonshire">West Dunbartonshire (UK Parliament constituency)">West Dunbartonshire
Wales
Brecon and Radnorshire">Brecon and Radnorshire (UK Parliament constituency)">Brecon and Radnorshire
Cardiff Central">Cardiff Central (UK Parliament constituency)">Cardiff Central
Cardiff North">Cardiff North (UK Parliament constituency)">Cardiff North
Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire">Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire (UK Parliament constituency)">Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire
Vale of Glamorgan">Vale of Glamorgan (UK Parliament constituency)">Vale of Glamorgan
Multiple constituency polling
Some polls are carried out in specified subsets of marginal constituencies. Most of the polls for Lord Ashcroft were compilations of polls in individual constituencies.Date conducted | Polling organisation/client | No of Seats surveyed | Incumbents by party | Sample size | Con | Lab | UKIP | LD | Green | Others |
1–14 Dec 2014 | 8 | 8 Con | 8,000 | 36% | 35% | 14% | 6% | 5% | 2% | |
20–29 Nov 2014 | 4 | 4 Lab | 4,002 | 22% | 37% | 33% | 5% | 2% | 1% | |
15–24 Nov 2014 | 40 | 25 Con, 15 Lab | 743 | 31% | 39% | 18% | 7% | 4% | <0.5% | |
2–27 Oct 2014 | 12 | 12 Con | 12,008 | 32% | 35% | 23% | 5% | 4% | 1% | |
10 Sep–3 Oct 2014 | 11 | 11 Con | 11,002 | 32% | 38% | 18% | 5% | 5% | 1% | |
18–26 Sep 2014 | 40 | 25 Con, 15 Lab | 766 | 30% | 41% | 17% | 6% | 5% | 2% | |
31 Jul–14 Sep 2014 | 5 | 5 LibDem | 5,000 | 15% | 38% | 10% | 28% | 6% | 3% | |
31 Jul–6 Sep 2014 | 17 | 2 Con, 15 LibDem | 8,909 | 32% | 13% | 17% | 32% | 4% | 1% | |
11 Jul–11 Aug 2014 | 8 | 8 Con | 8,005 | 30% | 40% | 8% | 17% | 5% | 1% | |
11 Jul–11 Aug 2014 | 4 | 4 Lab | 4,001 | 30% | 43% | 9% | 13% | 4% | 1% | |
18 Jun–16 Jul 2014 | 14 | 14 Con | 14,004 | 31% | 38% | 4% | 21% | 4% | 2% | |
18–25 Jun 2014 | 40 | 25 Con, 15 Lab | 795 | 31% | 36% | 17% | 7% | 6% | 3% | |
11–22 Jun 2014 | 4 | 4 LD | 1,963 | 12% | 47% | 10% | 19% | 9% | 2% | |
11 May–14 Jun 2014 | 17 | 6 Con, 11 LibDem | 8,728 | 33% | 14% | 18% | 28% | 6% | 1% | |
15–20 May 2014 | 40 | 25 Con, 15 Lab | 1,030 | 33% | 35% | 17% | 8% | 4% | 2% | |
31 Mar–18 May 2014 | 26 | 14 Con, 12 Lab | 26,025 | 29% | 41% | 18% | 8% | 4% | ||
1 Aug–5 Sep 2013 | 40 | 40 Con | 12,809 | 30% | 35% | 12% | 13% | 10% |
Explanatory notes
The Lord Ashcroft polls typically ask two voting intention questions, with the second question asking the respondent to think "specifically about your own constituency and the candidates who are likely to stand there". This latter question is reported in the tables above.Most polling companies are members of the British Polling Council and abide by its disclosure rules; however, Michael Ashcroft, who commissioned many of these polls, is not a BPC member, despite having been invited to join. However, he contracts the conduct of his polls to BPC members.