Opinion polling for the 1982 Spanish general election
In the run up to the 1982 Spanish general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Spain during the term of the 1st Cortes Generales. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 1 March 1979, to the day the next election was held, on 28 October 1982.
Voting intention estimates refer mainly to a hypothetical Congress of Deputies election. Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.
Electoral polling
Nationwide polling
Voting intention estimates
The table below lists nationwide voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections are displayed below the percentages in a smaller font. 176 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Congress of Deputies.Party polling
Voting preferences
Victory preference
The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a general election taking place.| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other/ None | Lead | ||||||
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other/ None | Lead | ||||||
| CIS | 1 Oct 1982 | 1,200 | 6.0 | 38.0 | 3.0 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 33.0 | 23.0 |
| CIS | 29 Sep–1 Oct 1982 | 24,793 | 6.3 | 35.2 | 2.6 | 13.0 | 2.4 | 4.2 | 36.3 | 22.2 |
| CIS | 3–5 Sep 1982 | 2,400 | 9.0 | 36.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 31.0 | 22.0 |
| CIS | 1 Sep 1982 | 1,198 | 7.0 | 35.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 34.0 | 21.0 |
| CIS | 8–12 Jul 1982 | 3,185 | 11.8 | 34.5 | 3.3 | 11.0 | – | 3.7 | 35.6 | 22.7 |
| CIS | 1 Jun 1982 | 1,188 | 9.6 | 37.6 | 1.6 | 12.1 | – | 2.9 | 36.1 | 25.5 |
Victory likelihood
The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a general election taking place.| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other/ None | Lead | ||||||
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other/ None | Lead | ||||||
| CIS | 1 Oct 1982 | 1,200 | 2.0 | 57.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36.0 | 52.0 |
| CIS | 29 Sep–1 Oct 1982 | 24,793 | 4.4 | 51.8 | 0.3 | 5.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 36.7 | 46.3 |
| CIS | 3–5 Sep 1982 | 2,400 | 6.0 | 53.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 35.0 | 47.0 |
| CIS | 1 Sep 1982 | 1,198 | 3.0 | 53.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 37.0 | 48.0 |
| CIS | 8–12 Jul 1982 | 3,185 | 10.0 | 49.5 | 0.3 | 4.4 | – | 0.1 | 35.6 | 39.5 |
| CIS | 1 Jun 1982 | 1,188 | 7.4 | 46.5 | 0.1 | 3.4 | – | 0.3 | 42.4 | 39.1 |
| CIS | 26 Oct–1 Nov 1981 | 1,201 | 14.0 | 40.0 | – | 5.0 | – | – | 41.0 | 26.0 |