Initiative on Global Markets


The Initiative on Global Markets is a research center at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business in the United States. The initiative supports original research on international business, financial markets, and public policy. The IGM is most famous for the weekly polls it conducts of its Economics Experts Panel, a panel of 51 leading economists in United States universities. The IGM also organizes and sponsors conferences.

History

The Initiative on Global Markets was launched with a founding grant from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Trust, announced December 14, 2006. IGM began its activities in 2007: it co-sponsored the 2007 U.S. monetary policy conference in Washington, D.C. on March 9, 2007.

IGM polls and the Economics Experts Panel

The IGM maintains an Economics Experts Panel comprising leading economists at top United States universities. It circulates poll questions to the IGM Panel and publishes the responses of the IGM Panel members on its website, the IGM Forum.

Poll format

All IGM poll questions are phrased in the form of a statement, to which participants can choose options from a Likert scale: Strongly Agree, Agree, Uncertain, Disagree, Strongly Disagree. Participants must also indicate a confidence level in their response. They may additionally providing a free-form comment to explain their selection.
The poll is conducted over email, with one question sent every week to the IGM Panel members. Candidate poll questions can be submitted by the general public through the website. The final decision on what question to include is made by IGM faculty. Responses of all poll participants, along with confidence level and comment, are available on the IGM Forum poll results page, allowing analysts to better understand the reasoning behind the poll responses. In addition, an unweighted and confidence-weighted summary of responses is available.

Size and composition of the IGM Panel

As of July 2016, the IGM Panel has 51 economists. The IGM Forum website includes a biography and vote history for each panelist.
According to economist Justin Wolfers, the IGM Panel is geographically and ideologically diverse and are "a good sample of the leading economists in the nation".
In November 2013, ten new economists joined the IGM Panel.
There's also a European version.

Coverage

The New York Times has cited the IGM polls on raising the minimum wage, the utility to consumers of allowing services such as Uber and Lyft to compete on equal footing with taxi firms, and the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act.
Forbes has also cited the IGM poll on high-skilled immigration, noting the consensus in favor of immigration.
U.S. News & World Report has cited the IGM poll on tax cuts.

Reception

The New York Times praised the IGM polls for providing "an easily digested summary of the insights of mainstream economics into continuing political controversies".
Nobel Memorial Prize laureate Paul Krugman, writing for The New York Times in January 2013, noted that the IGM polls did not focus on areas that are disputed by macroeconomists.
IGM published a poll entitled in March 2019, in relation to the heterodox macroeconomic theory that had been in the news at the time. Bill Mitchell, an MMT scholar, described the poll as "simply a dishonest representation of MMT", stating that he would also "strongly disagree" to both questions being posed, and concluded that the University of Chicago Booth School of Business is probably falling prey to Groupthink.