The precursor tropical disturbance to Severe Tropical Cyclone Fergus was first noted by the United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center on December 19, 1996, while it was located about to the southeast of Bairiki in Kiribati. Over the next day the system moved south-westwards and became better organised, which prompted the JTWC to issue a tropical cyclone formation alert on the system during December 20. However, this alert was cancelled during the next day as atmospheric convection, associated with the systems low level circulation center significantly decreased. The system subsequently passed over the southern Solomon Islands during the next day, before convection associated with the systems low level circulation center became better organised. As a result of this the system was classified as a tropical low by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology during December 23, while the JTWC issued another tropical cyclone formation alert on the low. During that day, the depression gradually deepened further before the BoM reported, that it had developed into a tropical cyclone and named it Fergus later that day. The JTWC subsequently initiated advisories on Fergus, early the next day and designated it as Tropical Cyclone 13P, while it was located near Rennell Island. After being named, Fergus performed a cyclonic loop in an area of weak steering flow, before it started to move south-eastwards, under the influence of an approaching upper level trough of low pressure. As a result, it crossed 160°E and moved into the South Pacific basin during December 26, shortly before becoming a Category 3 severe tropical cyclone on the Australian tropical cyclone intensity scale. The system subsequently continued to move south-eastwards towards a weakness in a subtropical ridge of high pressure, before it passed in between Vanuatu and New Caledonia's Loyalty Islands between December 27–28. At around this time the Fiji Meteorological Service estimated that the system had peaked as a Category 3 severe tropical cyclone, with 10-minute sustained winds of 150 km/h. The JTWC also estimated during December 27, that the system had peaked with 1-minute sustained wind speeds of 165 km/h.
Preparations, impact and aftermath
Fergus and its precursor tropical disturbance brought strong winds and heavy rain to the Solomon Islands, which caused serious flooding on the islands of Guadalcanal, Rennell and Bellona. As a result, significant property damage and hundreds of food gardens were destroyed throughout the island nation. Two deaths were also reported, while several regions were declared disaster areas by the Government of the Solomon Islands. The National Disaster Council also launched an appeal for cash and rice, to help ease the food crisis in affected areas. As a result, Taiwan donated and of vegetable seeds for disaster relief, while Australia and New Zealand donated to the relief effort via the Solomon Islands Red Cross. After impacting the Solomon Islands, Fergus moved south-eastwards where it moved in between and parallel to Vanuatu and New Caledonia's Loyalty Islands. As a result, New Caledonia's eastern Loyalty Islands were placed on high alert with people urged to reinforce doors and windows and limit their movements, while the rest of the French territory was placed on a precautionary alert. On Matthew Island, a significant drop in air pressure was recorded, as Fergus moved past, but no wind speeds were recorded at the weather station as the station's anemometer had been broken. Cyclonic winds and torrential rains were subsequently recorded within Vanautu, with food gardens in Aneityum damaged as a result. Ahead of the system impacting New Zealand, MetService issued warnings for gale-force winds and heavy rain in various districts of the North Island. They also warned that Fergus would bring with it around about thirty hours of rain and six to eight hours of damaging winds. As a result, all campers and hikers who were holidaying on the North Island's East Coast were told to pack up and leave the area. Ahead of Fergus impacting New Zealand, the ground was becoming saturated as a shallow trough of low pressure and moist northeast flow, had caused rain to set in from Northland to the Bay of Plenty. Fergus caused extensive damage in New Zealand after making landfall. Play in the qualifying and first rounds of the 1997 ASB Classic tennis tournament to be significantly disrupted, due to torrential rain, poor light and strong wind caused by Fergus.
