2020 United States presidential election in Texas


The 2020 United States presidential election in Texas is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Texas voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Texas has 38 electoral votes in the Electoral College.

Primary elections

Republican primary

The Republican primary was held on March 3, 2020. Donald Trump and Bill Weld were declared Republican candidates. Former South Carolina Governor and U.S. Representative Mark Sanford and U.S. Representative Joe Walsh dropped out. Texas Governor Greg Abbott declined to run against Trump, as did 2016 Republican primary candidate and current senator Ted Cruz.

Results

Democratic primary

The Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020. Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, and Joe Biden were among the major declared candidates.

Results

General election

Predictions

Polling

Aggregate polls
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
Donald
Trump 		Joe
Biden 		OtherUndecided
Jul 17–26, 20202,685 ± 1.9%45%47%––
Jul 16–20, 2020750 ± 3.5%49%45%–6%
Jul 16-20, 2020880 ± 3.3%44%45%4%4%
Jul 7–10, 20201,185 ± 3.6%46%45%4%6%
Jul 7, 2020591 ± 4.3%46%44%––
Jun 29 – Jul 7, 20201,677 ± 2.4%43%48%4%5%
Jun 19–29, 20201,200 ± 2.89%48%44%–8%
Jun 24–25, 2020729 ± 3.6%46%48%–5%
Jun 20–23, 20201,001 ± 3%44%45%5%5%
Jun 18–19, 2020907 ± 3%48%46%–6%
Jun 2–3, 2020683 –48%48%–4%
May 28 – Jun 1, 20201,166 ± 2.9%44%43%6%7%
May 8–10, 2020800 ± 3.4%47%41%–12%
Apr 27–28, 20201,032 –46%47%–7%
Apr 18–27, 20201,183 ± 2.85%43%43%5%9%
Apr 10–19, 20201,200 ± 2.8%49%44%–7%
Feb 24 – Mar 2, 20201,100 ± 3.0%47%43%11%–
Feb 23–27, 20202,409 ± 2.5%49%45%1%5%
Feb 22–26, 20201,003 ± 3.4%47%48%3%2%
Feb 21–26, 20201,004 ± 3.1%43%46%–11%
Feb 17–26, 20201,221 ± 2.8%45%44%11%–
Jan 31 – Feb 9, 20201,200 ± 2.83%47%44%––
Jan 21–30, 2020910 ± 3.24%46%44%10%–
Jan 16–21, 20201,486 –54%40%3%3%
Jan 10–19, 2020520 ± 4.3%51%46%–3%
Dec 4–9, 20191,003 –48%47%2%3%
Nov 9–21, 20191,601± 3.0%45%44%––
Nov 5–14, 20191,093± 3.0%45%39%–16%
Oct 18–27, 20191,200± 2.8%46%39%––
Sep 13–15, 20191,199± 2.8%38%40%13%9%
Aug 31 – Sep 6, 20191,004 –43%47%–10%
Aug 20–25, 20191,660 ± 2.4%43%43%–9%
Aug 1–4, 20191,261 ± 2.8%37%41%14%8%
Aug 1–3, 20191,033± 3.0%49%51%––
Jul 24–27, 20191,414 ± 2.6%37%37%12%14%
May 29 – Jun 4, 20191,159± 3.4%44%48%1%4%
Apr 27–30, 2019200± 6.9%49%42%–7%
Apr 25–28, 2019799± 3.4%49%50%––
Feb 20–25, 20191,222± 3.4%47%46%1%5%
Feb 13–14, 2019743± 3.6%49%46%–5%

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders
Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
Donald
Trump 		Bernie
Sanders 		OtherUndecided
Feb 24 – Mar 2, 20201,100 ± 3.0%49%43%9%–
Feb 23–27, 20202,409 ± 2.5%49%45%1%5%
Feb 22–26, 20201,003 ± 3.4%48%46%3%3%
Feb 21–26, 20201,004 ± 3.1%45%45%–10%
Feb 17–26, 20201,221 ± 2.8%45%44%11%–
Jan 31 – Feb 9, 20201,200 ± 2.83%47%45%––
Jan 21–30, 2020910 ± 3.24%47%42%12%–
Jan 16–21, 20201,486 –55%40%3%2%
Jan 10–19, 2020520 ± 4.3%50%47%–3%
Dec 4–9, 20191,003 –50%43%4%3%
Nov 5–14, 20191,093± 3.0%44%40%–16%
Oct 18–27, 20191,200± 2.8%45%40%––
Sep 13–15, 20191,199± 2.8%40%38%14%8%
Aug 31 – Sep 6, 20191,004 –42%48%–10%
Aug 20–25, 20191,660 ± 2.4%45%41%–7%
Aug 1–4, 20191,261 ± 2.8%38%42%13%7%
Aug 1–3, 20191,033± 3.0%49%51%––
Jul 24–27, 20191,414 ± 2.6%37%39%11%12%
May 29 – Jun 4, 20191,159± 3.4%47%44%1%4%
Apr 25–28, 2019799± 3.4%51%49%––
Feb 20–25, 20191,222± 3.4%47%45%2%4%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren
Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
Donald
Trump 		Elizabeth
Warren 		OtherUndecided
Feb 24 – Mar 2, 20201,100 ± 3.0%49%40%12%–
Feb 22–26, 20201,003 ± 3.4%47%47%2%4%
Feb 21–26, 20201,004 ± 3.1%48%41%–11%
Feb 17–26, 20201,221 ± 2.8%47%37%16%-
Jan 31 – Feb 9, 20201,200 ± 2.83%47%44%––
Jan 21–30, 2020907 ± 3.24%48%41%12%–
Jan 16–21, 20201,486 –56%38%3%3%
Jan 10–19, 2020520 ± 4.3%50%43%–7%
Dec 4–9, 20191,003 –51%44%3%2%
Nov 9–21, 20191,601± 3.0%46%41%--
Nov 5–14, 20191,093± 3.0%46%35%-20%
Oct 18–27, 20191,200± 2.8%46%39%--
Sep 13–15, 20191,199± 2.8%40%37%15%9%
Aug 31 – Sep 6, 20191,004 –42%44%–14%
Aug 1–3, 20191,033± 3.0%52%48%––
May 29 – Jun 4, 20191,159± 3.4%46%45%1%5%
Apr 25–28, 2019799± 3.4%53%47%––
Feb 20–25, 20191,222± 3.4%48%41%2%6%

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg
Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
Donald
Trump 		Michael
Bloomberg 		OtherUndecided
Feb 24 – Mar 2, 20201,100 ± 3.0%48%36%17%–
Feb 22–26, 20201,003 ± 3.4%47%46%3%4%
Feb 21–26, 20201,004 ± 3.1%43%44%–13%
Feb 17–26, 20201,221 ± 2.8%45%44%10%-
Jan 31 – Feb 9, 20201,200 ± 2.83%46%41%––
Jan 21–30, 2020906 ± 3.24%47%44%9%–

Donald Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar
Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
Donald
Trump 		Amy
Klobuchar 		OtherUndecided
Feb 22–26, 20201,003 ± 3.4%48%45%2%5%
Feb 21–26, 20201,004 ± 3.1%46%39%–15%
Feb 17–26, 20201,221 ± 2.8%45%38%17%-
Jan 31 – Feb 9, 20201,200 ± 2.83%46%41%––
Jan 21–30, 2020909 ± 3.24%46%38%16%–

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg
Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
Donald
Trump 		Pete
Buttigieg 		OtherUndecided
Feb 22–26, 20201,003 ± 3.4%47%46%2%4%
Feb 21–26, 20201,004 ± 3.1%46%40%–15%
Feb 17–26, 20201,221 ± 2.8%45%41%15%-
Jan 31 – Feb 9, 20201,200 ± 2.83%47%42%––
Jan 21–30, 2020905 ± 3.24%47%37%15%–
Jan 16–21, 20201,486 –56%36%4%4%
Jan 10–19, 2020520 ± 4.3%51%43%–6%
Dec 4–9, 20191,003 –50%43%2%6%
Nov 5–14, 20191,093± 3.0%45%33%-22%
Sep 13–15, 20191,199± 2.8%39%30%21%10%
Aug 1–3, 20191,033± 3.0%52%48%––
May 29 – Jun 4, 20191,159± 3.4%46%44%1%6%
Apr 25–28, 2019799± 3.4%54%46%––

Donald Trump vs. Tom Steyer
Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
Donald
Trump 		Tom
Steyer 		OtherUndecided
Jan 21–30, 2020909 ± 3.24%47%36%17%–

Donald Trump vs. Andrew Yang
Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
Donald
Trump 		Andrew
Yang 		OtherUndecided
Jan 31 – Feb 9, 20201,200 ± 2.83%45%43%––

Donald Trump vs. Cory Booker
Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
Donald
Trump 		Cory
Booker 		OtherUndecided
Aug 31 – Sep 6, 20191,004 –41%43%–16%

with Donald Trump and Julian Castro
Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
Donald
Trump 		Julian
Castro 		OtherUndecided
Nov 5–14, 20191,093± 3.0%45%34%-21%
Oct 18–27, 20191,200± 2.8%46%33%--
Aug 31 – Sep 6, 20191,004 –41%44%–16%
Aug 1–3, 20191,033± 3.0%53%47%––
May 29 – Jun 4, 20191,159± 3.4%46%43%1%6%
Feb 20–25, 20191,222± 3.4%46%41%2%8%

with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris
Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
Donald
Trump 		Kamala
Harris 		OtherUndecided
Nov 5–14, 20191,093± 3.0%46%33%-21%
Sep 13–15, 20191,199± 2.8%39%32%19%10%
Aug 31 – Sep 6, 20191,004 –44%45%–11%
Aug 1–3, 20191,033± 3.0%54%46%––
May 29 – Jun 4, 20191,159± 3.4%47%43%1%6%
Apr 25–28, 2019799± 3.4%54%46%––
Feb 20–25, 20191,222± 3.4%48%41%2%5%
Feb 13–14, 2019743± 3.6%49%40%–11%

with Donald Trump and Beto O'Rourke
Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
Donald
Trump 		Beto
O'Rourke 		OtherUndecided
Oct 18–27, 20191,200± 2.8%47%41%--
Sep 13–15, 20191,199± 2.8%40%42%11%8%
Aug 1–3, 20191,033± 3.0%52%48%––
May 29 – Jun 4, 20191,159± 3.4%48%45%1%3%
Apr 25–28, 2019799± 3.4%50%50%––
Feb 20–25, 20191,222± 3.4%47%46%1%4%
Jan 5–11, 2019504± 4.4%52%39%––

with Donald Trump and Mark Cuban
Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
Donald
Trump 		Mark
Cuban 		Undecided
Dec 2017––44%47%–

with Donald Trump and a Generic Democrat
Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
Donald
Trump 		Generic
Democrat 		Undecided
Aug 31 – Sep 6, 20191,004 –42%47%11%

with Donald Trump and a generic Opponent
Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
Donald
Trump 		Generic
Opponent		Undecided
Jan 31 – Feb 9, 20201,200 ± 2.83%48%52%–
Sep 4–9, 20191,410 ± 3.1%35%48%17%
Feb 15–24, 20191,200 ± 2.83%49%51%–