2020 United States presidential election in North Carolina


The 2020 United States presidential election in North Carolina is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. North Carolina voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of North Carolina has 15 electoral votes in the Electoral College.

Primary elections

Presidential preference primaries were held on March 3, 2020, for each of the political parties with state ballot access.

Democratic primary

Despite speculation that he might seek the Democratic nomination, Roy Cooper, the Governor of North Carolina, declined to run.

Democratic primary polling

Results

Republican primary

The North Carolina Republican Party submitted to the state only the name of incumbent President Donald Trump to be listed on the primary ballot. The campaign of Bill Weld "has written to the asking to be added to the ballot, arguing that his candidacy meets the legal test because he’s received widespread news coverage, raised more than $1.2 million, and has qualified for the primary ballot in six other states," according to the News and Observer. Joe Walsh similarly petitioned the state board of elections. On Dec. 20, 2019, the state board unanimously voted to include both Weld and Walsh on the ballot.

Republican primary polling

Results

Libertarian primary

Results

Green primary

Results

Constitution primary

Results

General election

Predictions

Polling

Aggregate polls
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
Donald
Trump 		Joe
Biden 		OtherUndecided
Jul 24–26, 2020284 –46%49%––
Jul 17–26, 20201,504 ± 2.5%47%47%––
Jul 23–24, 2020884 –46%49%–5%
Jul 22–24, 2020735 ± 3.6%48%47%1%4%
July 14–22, 2020882 ± 4.0%44%51%2%4%
Jul 19–21, 2020919 –42%43%4%11%
July 11–16, 2020600 ± 3.7%49%46%–5%
July 13–15, 2020547 ± 4.2%49%48%1%3%
July 10–12, 2020655 –46%47%––
July 7–8, 2020818 ± 3.4%46%50%–5%
June 26–28, 2020468 –44%51%––
June 22–25, 20201,149 ± 3.4%44%45%7%4%
June 22–23, 20201,157 –46%48%–6%
June 20–23, 20201,012 ± 3%45%47%5%3%
June 8–18, 2020653 ± 4.1%40%49%4%7%
June 17, 2020631 ± 3.9%46%43%–10%
June 12–14, 2020378 –45%47%1%–
June 2–3, 2020913 ± 3.2%45%49%–6%
May 29–31, 2020806 –45%46%4%4%
May 26–28, 2020500 ± 4.38%47%44%–9%
May 12–21, 2020391 –42%42%––
May 10–14, 2020859 ± 3.3%43%45%3%8%
May 9-13, 2020500 –47%47%–6%
May 7–9, 20201,111 ± 3.4%46%43%7%4%
May 2–4, 20201,362 ± 3%46%49%4%2%
Apr 27–28, 2020604 ± 4.0%40%47%5%7%
Apr 23–26, 2020580 ± 5.5%45%50%–5%
Apr 20–21, 20201,275 –46%49%–5%
Apr 13–18, 2020800 –45%48%––
Apr 13–16, 2020500 –46%48%1%4%
Apr 14–15, 20201,318 –47%48%–5%
Apr 5–7, 2020500 ± 4.4%49%42%–9%
Feb 27–28, 20201,288 ± 3.2%46%48%––
Feb 23–27, 20202,120 ± 2.4%45%49%1%5%
Feb 13–16, 20202,366 ± 2.5%45%49%–6%
Feb 11–15, 2020675 ± 3.9%44%46%–11%
Nov 10–13, 20191,504 ± 2.5%43%45%5%5%
Oct 13–26, 2019651 ± 4.4%48%46%––
Oct 2–9, 20191,076 ± 3.0%46%50%4%–
Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2019996 ± 3.0%38%35%20%7%
Oct 4–6, 2019963± 3.2%46%51%–4%
Aug 1–5, 20192,113± 2.7%41%49%–10%
Aug 1–4, 2019500± 4.4%45%44%–11%
Jul 29–31, 2019600± 4.0%45%49%–5%
Jun 17–18, 2019610± 4.0%46%49%–5%
May 31 – Jun 3, 2019932± 3.1%44%56%––
May 25 – Jun 1, 2019730–52%41%–7%
Feb 11–13, 2019500± 4.4%43%39%7%11%
Jan 4–7, 2019750± 3.6%44%49%–7%
Jan 21–25, 2018621± 4.0%45%46%8%1%

Four-way race
Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
Donald
Trump 		Joe
Biden 		Jo
Jorgensen 		Howie
Hawkins 		OtherUndecided
Jun 14–17, 2020902 ± 3.26%40%46%1%<1%1%11%

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg
Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
Donald
Trump 		Michael
Bloomberg 		Undecided
Feb 27–28, 20201,288 ± 3.2%46%45%–
Feb 11–15, 2020675 ± 3.9%41%47%12%

Donald Trump vs. Cory Booker
Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
Donald
Trump 		Cory
Booker 		OtherUndecided
Feb 11–13, 2019500± 4.4%44%36%6%14%
Jan 4–7, 2019750± 3.6%46%45%–9%

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg
Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
Donald
Trump 		Pete
Buttigieg 		OtherUndecided
Feb 13–16, 20202,366 ± 2.5%46%45%–9%
Feb 11–15, 2020675 ± 3.9%43%42%–14%
Nov 10–13, 20191,504 ± 2.5%43%39%6%8%
Oct 2–9, 20191,076 ± 3.0%49.4%46.8%3.8%–
Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2019996 ± 3.0%38%27%25.1%8.9%
Oct 4–6, 2019963± 3.2%47%46%–7%
Aug 1–5, 20192,113± 2.7%43%41%–16%
Jun 17–18, 2019610± 4.0%47%44%–9%
May 31 – Jun 3, 2019932± 3.1%48%52%––

Donald Trump vs. Kirsten Gillibrand
Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
Donald
Trump 		Kirsten
Gillibrand 		OtherUndecided
Jan 21–25, 2018621± 4.0%46%36%18%1%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
Donald
Trump 		Kamala
Harris 		OtherUndecided
Oct 2–9, 20191,076 ± 3.0%49.3%46.9%3.8%–
Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2019996 ± 3.0%39.1%28.4%24.8%7.7%
Oct 4–6, 2019963± 3.2%47%47%–5%
Aug 1–5, 20192,113± 2.7%44%43%–13%
Aug 1–4, 2019500± 4.4%47%41%–12%
Jun 17–18, 2019610± 4.0%47%46%–7%
May 31 – Jun 3, 2019932± 3.1%51%49%––
Feb 11–13, 2019500± 4.4%45%34%5%16%
Jan 4–7, 2019750± 3.6%45%45%–10%

Donald Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar
Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
Donald
Trump 		Amy
Klobuchar 		Undecided
Feb 13–16, 20202,366 ± 2.5%46%46%12%
Feb 11–15, 2020675 ± 3.9%43%40%17%

Donald Trump vs. Beto O'Rourke
Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
Donald
Trump 		Beto
O'Rourke 		Undecided
Jan 4–7, 2019750± 3.6%46%45%10%

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders
Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
Donald
Trump 		Bernie
Sanders 		OtherUndecided
Apr 5–7, 2020500 ± 4.3%50%40%–10%
Feb 27–28, 20201,288 ± 3.2%48%43%––
Feb 23–27, 20202,120 ± 2.4%46%48%1%5%
Feb 13–16, 20202,366 ± 2.5%45%50%–5%
Feb 11–15, 2020675 ± 3.9%43%47%–10%
Nov 10–13, 20191,504 ± 2.5%44%45%4%5%
Oct 13–26, 2019651 ± 4.4%48%44%––
Oct 2–9, 20191,076 ± 3.0%48%49%4%–
Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2019996 ± 3.0%39%33%23%6%
Oct 4–6, 2019963± 3.2%47%50%–4%
Aug 1–5, 20192,113± 2.7%43%47%–10%
Aug 1–4, 2019500± 4.4%46%44%–10%
Jun 17–18, 2019610± 4.0%47%48%–5%
May 31 – Jun 3, 2019932± 3.1%46%54%––
Feb 11–13, 2019500± 4.4%46%34%9%10%
Jan 4–7, 2019750± 3.6%45%48%–8%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren
Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
Donald
Trump 		Elizabeth
Warren 		OtherUndecided
Feb 27–28, 20201,288 ± 3.2%49%41%––
Feb 13–16, 20202,366 ± 2.5%48%44%–8%
Feb 11–15, 2020675 ± 3.9%45%43%–12%
Nov 10–13, 20191,504 ± 2.5%44%43%4%6%
Oct 13–26, 2019651 ± 4.4%48%44%––
Oct 2–9, 20191,076 ± 3.0%48.5%47.6%3.9%–
Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2019996 ± 3.0%39.1%33%20.2%7.4%
Oct 4–6, 2019963± 3.2%46%49%–5%
Aug 1–5, 20192,113± 2.7%43%44%–12%
Aug 1–4, 2019500± 4.4%46%43%–11%
Jun 17–18, 2019610± 4.0%48%46%–6%
May 31 – Jun 3, 2019932± 3.1%50%50%––
Jan 4–7, 2019750± 3.6%46%46%–8%
Jan 21–25, 2018621± 4.0%48%40%12%1%

with Donald Trump and Michelle Obama
Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
Donald
Trump 		Michelle
Obama 		OtherUndecided
Aug 1–5, 20192,113± 2.7%43%50%–7%

with Donald Trump and Oprah Winfrey
Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
Donald
Trump 		Oprah
Winfrey 		OtherUndecided
Aug 1–5, 20192,113± 2.7%43%45%–12%
Jan 21–25, 2018621± 4.0%48%38%12%2%

with Donald Trump and a person whose name was randomly chosen out of a phone book
Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
Donald
Trump 		Generic individualRefused/no answerUndecided
Sep 29 – Oct 7, 2019996 ± 3.0%42.7%40.1%1.1%16.2%

with Donald Trump and Roy Cooper
Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
Donald
Trump 		Roy
Cooper 		OtherUndecided
Jan 21–25, 2018621± 4.0%45%43%11%1%

with Donald Trump and Generic Democrat
Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
Donald
Trump 		Generic
Democrat		OtherUndecided
Jan 8–12, 2020700 –44%48%––
Sep 16–17, 2019628 ± 3.9%47%50%–3%
Feb 20 – Mar 7, 2019914± 3.5%36%48%6%9%