2020 United States presidential election in Michigan
The 2020 United States presidential election in Michigan is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Michigan voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Michigan has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
Michigan is expected to be tightly contested in 2020, as it was the closest state by margin in the 2016 election, where President Trump became the first Republican to carry Michigan’s electoral votes since 1988, when George H. W. Bush won in a national landslide against Michael Dukakis.
Primary elections
The primary elections were on March 10, 2020.Republican primary
Democratic primary
and former Vice President Joe Biden were the two major declared Democratic candidates.General election
Predictions
Polling
Aggregate pollsDonald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Four-way race
| Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Joe Biden | Jo Jorgensen | Howie Hawkins | Other | Undecided |
| Jun 14–16, 2020 | 826 | ± 3.41% | 36% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 12% |
Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg
| Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Michael Bloomberg | Other | Undecided |
| Feb 12–18, 2020 | 845 | ±3.4% | 42% | 47% | 7% | 4% | |
| Feb 6–18, 2020 | 500 | – | 41% | 46% | – | 13% | |
| Jan 9–12, 2020 | 600 | ± 4% | 42% | 49% | – | 9% | |
| Jan 3–7, 2020 | 600 | ± 4% | 41% | 47% | – | 10% | |
| Dec 3–5, 2019 | 551 | ± 4.3% | 48% | 37% | 8% | 7% |
Donald Trump vs. Cory Booker
| Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Cory Booker |
| Jul 14–17, 2019 | 820 | ± 4.0% | 37% | 39% |
Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg
| Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Pete Buttigieg | Other | Undecided |
| Feb 11–20, 2020 | 1,249 | ±4.0% | 41% | 47% | – | – | |
| Feb 12–18, 2020 | 845 | ±3.4% | 44% | 45% | 8% | 3% | |
| Feb 6–18, 2020 | 500 | – | 40% | 44% | – | 15% | |
| Jan 9–12, 2020 | 600 | ± 4% | 43% | 47% | – | 10% | |
| Jan 3–7, 2020 | 600 | ± 4% | 43% | 45% | – | 10% | |
| Dec 3–5, 2019 | 551 | ± 4.3% | 48% | 37% | 8% | 6% | |
| Jun 11–13, 2019 | 587 | ± 4.2% | 44% | 40% | 16% | – | |
| May 28–30, 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 41% | 47% | – | 11% |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Kamala Harris | Undecided |
| Aug 17–21, 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 43% | 46% | 11% | |
| May 28–30, 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% | |
| Mar 7–10, 2019 | 743 | ± 3.5% | 49% | 51% | – | |
| Jan 24–26, 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 42% | 47% | 10% |
Donald Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar
| Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Amy Klobuchar | Other | Undecided |
| Feb 11–20, 2020 | 1,249 | ±4.0% | 41% | 44% | – | – | |
| Feb 12–18, 2020 | 845 | ±3.4% | 44% | 45% | 6% | 4% | |
| Mar 7–10, 2019 | 743 | ± 3.5% | 47% | 53% | – | – |
Donald Trump vs. Beto O'Rourke
| Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Beto O'Rourke | Other | Undecided |
| Mar 19–21, 2019 | 530 | ± 4.5% | 48% | 39% | 8% | – |
Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders
| Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Bernie Sanders | Other | Undecided |
| March 17–25, 2020 | 997 | ± 3.7% | 42% | 45% | – | 13% | |
| Mar 12–16, 2020 | 600 | – | 44% | 49% | – | – | |
| Mar 7–9, 2020 | 1,100 | ± 3.0 % | 43% | 46% | 11% | – | |
| Mar 6–8, 2020 | 566 | – | 42% | 43% | 7% | 8% | |
| Mar 5–8, 2020 | 977 | ± 3.1 % | 41% | 46% | 2% | 9% | |
| Mar 5–7, 2020 | 550 | ± 5.3 % | 48% | 41% | – | – | |
| Feb 11–20, 2020 | 1,249 | ± 4.0 % | 41% | 48% | – | – | |
| Feb 12–18, 2020 | 845 | ± 3.4 % | 43% | 48% | 7% | 3% | |
| Feb 6–18, 2020 | 500 | – | 42% | 46% | – | 12% | |
| Jan 9–12, 2020 | 600 | ± 4% | 45% | 50% | – | 5% | |
| Jan 3–7, 2020 | 600 | ± 4% | 45% | 49% | – | 5% | |
| Dec 3–5, 2019 | 551 | ± 4.3% | 48% | 42% | 6% | 5% | |
| Oct 31 – Nov 3, 2019 | 1,051 | ± 3.0% | 43% | 57% | – | – | |
| Oct 13–25, 2019 | 501 | ± 5.1% | 42% | 46% | – | – | |
| Sep 7–9, 2019 | 529 | ± 4.0% | 43% | 40% | 17% | – | |
| Aug 17–21, 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 44% | 48% | – | 8% | |
| Jun 11–13, 2019 | 587 | ± 4.2% | 44% | 44% | 12% | – | |
| May 28–30, 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 41% | 53% | – | 5% | |
| Apr 14–18, 2019 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 41% | 52% | – | – | |
| Mar 19–21, 2019 | 530 | ± 4.5% | 46% | 45% | 6% | – | |
| Mar 7–10, 2019 | 743 | ± 3.5% | 47% | 52% | – | – | |
| Jan 24–26, 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 41% | 52% | – | 6% | |
| Sep 2017 | 800 | – | 36% | 54% | – | 10% |
Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren
| Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Elizabeth Warren | Other | Undecided |
| Feb 11–20, 2020 | 1,249 | ±4.0% | 43% | 46% | – | – | |
| Feb 12–18, 2020 | 845 | ±3.4% | 43% | 45% | 7% | 4% | |
| Jan 9–12, 2020 | 600 | ± 4% | 45% | 48% | – | 7% | |
| Jan 3–7, 2020 | 600 | ± 4% | 44% | 46% | – | 8% | |
| Dec 3–5, 2019 | 551 | ± 4.3% | 47% | 38% | 8% | 6% | |
| Oct 31 – Nov 3, 2019 | 1,051 | ± 3.0% | 46% | 54% | – | – | |
| Oct 13–25, 2019 | 501 | ± 5.1% | 45% | 40% | – | – | |
| Sep 7–9, 2019 | 529 | ± 4.0% | 42% | 41% | 17% | – | |
| Aug 17–21, 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 43% | 49% | – | 8% | |
| Jun 11–13, 2019 | 587 | ± 4.2% | 43% | 41% | 16% | – | |
| May 28–30, 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 43% | 47% | – | 9% | |
| Mar 7–10, 2019 | 743 | ± 3.5% | 49% | 51% | – | – | |
| Jan 24–26, 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 43% | 46% | – | 10% | |
| Sep 2017 | 800 | – | 37% | 46% | – | 17% | |
| Aug 17–23, 2017 | 803 | ± 3.5% | 35% | 51% | – | 14% |
with Donald Trump, Joe Biden, and Justin Amash
| Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Joe Biden | Justin Amash | Undecided |
| May 28–30, 2019 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 39% | 45% | 10% | 6% |
with Donald Trump, Joe Biden, and Howard Schultz
| Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Joe Biden | Howard Schultz | Undecided |
| Mar 7–10, 2019 | 743 | ± 3.5% | 44% | 52% | 4% | – |
with Donald Trump, Bernie Sanders, and Howard Schultz
| Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Bernie Sanders | Howard Schultz | Undecided |
| Mar 7–10, 2019 | 743 | ± 3.5% | 45% | 49% | 6% | – |
with Donald Trump and Generic Democrat
| Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Generic Democrat | Undecided |
| Mar 17-25, 2020 | 997 | ± 3.7% | 43.2% | 54.0% | 2.9% | |
| Feb 6–18, 2020 | 500 | – | 38% | 50% | 11% | |
| Jan 8-20, 2020 | 1,023 | ± 3.1% | 36.4% | 50.3% | 13.3% | |
| Sep 23 – Oct 15, 2019 | 767 | ± 4% | 27% | 39% | 25% |
with Donald Trump and Generic Opponent
| Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Generic Opponent | Undecided |
| May 31 – Jun 4, 2020 | 600 | ± 4% | 33% | 51% | 13% | |
| May 30 – Jun 3, 2020 | 600 | ± 4% | 38% | 51% | 8% | |
| Jan 9–12, 2020 | 600 | ± 4% | 34% | 44% | 22% | |
| Jun 8–12, 2019 | 600 | ± 4% | 32% | 45% | 23% | |
| Mar 3–7, 2019 | 600 | ± 4% | 31% | 49% | 20% |