2020 United States presidential election in Michigan


The 2020 United States presidential election in Michigan is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Michigan voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Michigan has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
Michigan is expected to be tightly contested in 2020, as it was the closest state by margin in the 2016 election, where President Trump became the first Republican to carry Michigan’s electoral votes since 1988, when George H. W. Bush won in a national landslide against Michael Dukakis.

Primary elections

The primary elections were on March 10, 2020.

Republican primary

Democratic primary

and former Vice President Joe Biden were the two major declared Democratic candidates.

General election

Predictions

Polling

Aggregate polls
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Four-way race
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Donald
Trump
Joe
Biden
Jo
Jorgensen
Howie
Hawkins
OtherUndecided
Jun 14–16, 2020826 ± 3.41%36%47%2%1%2%12%

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Donald
Trump
Michael
Bloomberg
OtherUndecided
Feb 12–18, 2020845 ±3.4%42%47%7%4%
Feb 6–18, 2020500 41%46%13%
Jan 9–12, 2020600 ± 4%42%49%9%
Jan 3–7, 2020600 ± 4%41%47%10%
Dec 3–5, 2019551 ± 4.3%48%37%8% 7%

Donald Trump vs. Cory Booker
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Donald
Trump
Cory
Booker
Jul 14–17, 2019820± 4.0%37%39%

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Donald
Trump
Pete
Buttigieg
OtherUndecided
Feb 11–20, 20201,249 ±4.0%41%47%
Feb 12–18, 2020845 ±3.4%44%45%8%3%
Feb 6–18, 2020500 40%44%15%
Jan 9–12, 2020600 ± 4%43%47%10%
Jan 3–7, 2020600 ± 4%43%45%10%
Dec 3–5, 2019551 ± 4.3%48%37%8% 6%
Jun 11–13, 2019587± 4.2%44%40%16%
May 28–30, 2019600± 4.0%41%47%11%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Donald
Trump
Kamala
Harris
Undecided
Aug 17–21, 2019600± 4.0%43%46%11%
May 28–30, 2019600± 4.0%44%47%9%
Mar 7–10, 2019743± 3.5%49%51%
Jan 24–26, 2019600± 4.0%42%47%10%

Donald Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Donald
Trump
Amy
Klobuchar
OtherUndecided
Feb 11–20, 20201,249 ±4.0%41%44%
Feb 12–18, 2020845 ±3.4%44%45%6%4%
Mar 7–10, 2019743± 3.5%47%53%

Donald Trump vs. Beto O'Rourke
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Donald
Trump
Beto
O'Rourke
OtherUndecided
Mar 19–21, 2019530± 4.5%48%39%8%

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Donald
Trump
Bernie
Sanders
OtherUndecided
March 17–25, 2020997 ± 3.7%42%45%13%
Mar 12–16, 2020600 44%49%
Mar 7–9, 20201,100 ± 3.0 %43%46%11%
Mar 6–8, 2020566 42%43%7%8%
Mar 5–8, 2020977 ± 3.1 %41%46%2%9%
Mar 5–7, 2020550 ± 5.3 %48%41%
Feb 11–20, 20201,249 ± 4.0 %41%48%
Feb 12–18, 2020845 ± 3.4 %43%48%7%3%
Feb 6–18, 2020500 42%46%12%
Jan 9–12, 2020600 ± 4%45%50%5%
Jan 3–7, 2020600 ± 4%45%49%5%
Dec 3–5, 2019551 ± 4.3%48%42%6% 5%
Oct 31Nov 3, 20191,051± 3.0%43%57%
Oct 13–25, 2019501 ± 5.1%42%46%
Sep 7–9, 2019529± 4.0%43%40%17%
Aug 17–21, 2019600± 4.0%44%48%8%
Jun 11–13, 2019587± 4.2%44%44%12%
May 28–30, 2019600± 4.0%41%53%5%
Apr 14–18, 2019400± 4.9%41%52%
Mar 19–21, 2019530± 4.5%46%45%6%
Mar 7–10, 2019743± 3.5%47%52%
Jan 24–26, 2019600± 4.0%41%52%6%
Sep 201780036%54%10%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Donald
Trump
Elizabeth
Warren
OtherUndecided
Feb 11–20, 20201,249 ±4.0%43%46%
Feb 12–18, 2020845 ±3.4%43%45%7%4%
Jan 9–12, 2020600 ± 4%45%48%7%
Jan 3–7, 2020600 ± 4%44%46%8%
Dec 3–5, 2019551 ± 4.3%47%38%8% 6%
Oct 31 – Nov 3, 20191,051± 3.0%46%54%
Oct 13–25, 2019501 ± 5.1%45%40%
Sep 7–9, 2019529± 4.0%42%41%17%
Aug 17–21, 2019600± 4.0%43%49%8%
Jun 11–13, 2019587± 4.2%43%41%16%
May 28–30, 2019600± 4.0%43%47%9%
Mar 7–10, 2019743± 3.5%49%51%
Jan 24–26, 2019600± 4.0%43%46%10%
Sep 201780037%46%17%
Aug 17–23, 2017803± 3.5%35%51%14%

with Donald Trump, Joe Biden, and Justin Amash
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Donald
Trump
Joe
Biden
Justin
Amash
Undecided
May 28–30, 2019600± 4.0%39%45%10%6%

with Donald Trump, Joe Biden, and Howard Schultz
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Donald
Trump
Joe
Biden
Howard
Schultz
Undecided
Mar 7–10, 2019743± 3.5%44%52%4%

with Donald Trump, Bernie Sanders, and Howard Schultz
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Donald
Trump
Bernie
Sanders
Howard
Schultz
Undecided
Mar 7–10, 2019743± 3.5%45%49%6%

with Donald Trump and Generic Democrat
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Donald
Trump
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
Mar 17-25, 2020997 ± 3.7%43.2%54.0%2.9%
Feb 6–18, 2020500 38%50%11%
Jan 8-20, 20201,023 ± 3.1%36.4%50.3%13.3%
Sep 23Oct 15, 2019767 ± 4%27%39%25%

with Donald Trump and Generic Opponent
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Donald
Trump
Generic
Opponent
Undecided
May 31Jun 4, 2020600 ± 4%33%51%13%
May 30Jun 3, 2020600 ± 4%38%51%8%
Jan 9–12, 2020600 ± 4%34%44%22%
Jun 8–12, 2019600 ± 4%32%45%23%
Mar 3–7, 2019600 ± 4%31%49%20%