2020 United States presidential election in Maine


The 2020 United States presidential election in Maine is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Maine voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Maine has four electoral votes in the Electoral College. Unlike all other states except Nebraska, Maine awards two electoral votes based on the statewide vote, and one vote for each congressional district. In the 2016 election, Maine split its vote for the first time since 1828, awarding one electoral vote to Donald Trump as he got the most votes in Maine's 2nd congressional district.
Maine will be the first state ever to use ranked-choice voting for the presidential general election, with voters able to rank their preferred candidates on the ballot. Prior to 2019, no other American state thus far has used a voting system other than first-past-the-post or selection by the legislature to choose its presidential electors.

Primary elections

The primary elections were held on Super Tuesday, March 3, 2020.

Republican primary

Incumbent President Donald Trump ran unopposed in the Republican primary, and thus he received all of Maine's 22 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.
CandidateVotes%Delegates
95,36083.8522
Blank ballots18,36816.150
Total113,728100%22

Democratic primary

In an electoral upset, moderate candidate Joe Biden won the state, which primary opponent Bernie Sanders previously won in 2016.

Libertarian nominee

  • Jo Jorgensen, Psychology Senior Lecturer at Clemson University

    General election

Ballot access

Libertarian

The Libertarian Party was recognized by Maine as an official party in June 2016, but lost that status in December 2018. Consequently, Libertarian nominee Jo Jorgensen's only opportunity to appear on the ballot for the 2020 election is to appear as a nonpartisan candidate. To qualify for ballot access, Jorgensen must submit 4,000 petition signatures to the state by August 3. Jorgensen has sued the state for a reduction of the signature requirement, citing an increase in the difficulty of petitioning caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.

Predictions

At-large

1st district

2nd district

Polling

;statewide with Donald Trump and Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Donald
Trump
Joe
Biden
OtherUndecided
Jul 23–24, 2020962 42%53%5%
Jul 18–24, 2020888 ± 3.9%38%50%5%7%
Jul 2–3, 20201,022 ± 3.1%42%53%5%
Mar 2–3, 2020872 ± 3.3%42%52%6%
Oct 11–13, 2019939 ± 3.2%42%54%4%
Jul 29–31, 2019600 ± 4.0%44%50%5%
Jun 24, 2019767 ± 3.5%46%54%

;Maine's 1st congressional district with Donald Trump and Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Donald
Trump
Joe
Biden
Undecided
Oct 11–13, 2019478 38%58%3%

;Maine's 2nd congressional district with Donald Trump and Joe Biden
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Donald
Trump
Joe
Biden
Undecided
Oct 11–13, 2019461 46%49%4%

;with Donald Trump and Pete Buttigieg
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Donald
Trump
Pete
Buttigieg
Undecided
Oct 11–13, 2019939 ± 3.2%43%52%5%
Jun 24, 2019767 ± 3.5%49%51%

;with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Donald
Trump
Kamala
Harris
Undecided
Oct 11–13, 2019939 ± 3.2%44%50%6%
Jun 24, 2019767 ± 3.5%48%52%

;with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Donald
Trump
Bernie
Sanders
Undecided
Mar 2–3, 2020872 ± 3.3%42%52%7%
Oct 11–13, 2019939 ± 3.2%43%53%4%
Jun 24, 2019767 ± 3.5%47%53%

;with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Donald
Trump
Elizabeth
Warren
Undecided
Oct 11–13, 2019939 ± 3.2%43%53%4%
Jun 24, 2019767 ± 3.5%48%52%

;with Pete Buttigieg in Maine's 1st congressional district
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Donald
Trump
Pete
Buttigieg
Undecided
Oct 11–13, 2019478 38%58%3%

;with Kamala Harris in Maine's 1st congressional district
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Donald
Trump
Kamala
Harris
Undecided
Oct 11–13, 2019478 39%57%4%

;with Bernie Sanders in Maine's 1st congressional district
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Donald
Trump
Bernie
Sanders
Undecided
Oct 11–13, 2019478 39%57%4%

;with Elizabeth Warren in Maine's 1st congressional district
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Donald
Trump
Elizabeth
Warren
Undecided
Oct 11–13, 2019478 39%57%3%

;with Pete Buttigieg in Maine's 2nd congressional district
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Donald
Trump
Pete
Buttigieg
Undecided
Oct 11–13, 2019461 49%44%7%

;with Kamala Harris in Maine's 2nd congressional district
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Donald
Trump
Kamala
Harris
Undecided
Oct 11–13, 2019461 49%43%8%

;with Bernie Sanders in Maine's 2nd congressional district
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Donald
Trump
Bernie
Sanders
Undecided
Oct 11–13, 2019461 47%49%4%

;with Elizabeth Warren in Maine's 2nd congressional district
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Donald
Trump
Elizabeth
Warren
Undecided
Oct 11–13, 2019461 48%47%5%

;with Generic Democrat
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Donald
Trump
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
Feb 10–13, 20201,008 ± 3.1%34%37%30%

;with Generic Democrat in Maine's 1st congressional district
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Donald
Trump
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
Feb 10–13, 2020515 28%41%31%

;with Generic Democrat in Maine's 2nd congressional district
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Donald
Trump
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
Feb 10–13, 2020493 41%34%28%