2020 United States presidential election in Florida
The 2020 United States presidential election in Florida is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Florida voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Florida has 29 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
Miami Beach, Florida, which hosted the 1972 Democratic National Convention, was a finalist to host the 2020 Democratic National Convention. The other finalists were Milwaukee and Houston. Milwaukee was ultimately decided as the host.
Florida will also be incumbent president Donald Trump's home state for this election, after having identified New York as his home in 2016. As a result, Trump became the first nominee of either major party to be from Florida.
Primary elections
The primary elections were held on March 17, 2020.Republican primary
The Florida secretary of state declared Rocky De La Fuente to be a major candidate and thus worthy of automatic inclusion on the ballot.Democratic primary
Three Democrats were still in race by the time Florida held its primaries: Vermont senator Bernie Sanders, former vice president Joe Biden, and representative from Hawaii Tulsi Gabbard.The first Democratic debate took place in Miami over two nights at the end of June 2019. It was broadcast on several of the NBC networks.
General election
Predictions
Polling
Aggregate pollsDonald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Joe Biden | Other | Undecided |
| Jul 24–26, 2020 | 685 | – | 45% | 48% | – | – | |
| Jul 17–26, 2020 | 3,760 | ± 1.6% | 46% | 49% | – | – | |
| Jul 18–24, 2020 | 880 | ± 3.8% | 46% | 51% | 2% | 2% | |
| Jul 20–23, 2020 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 46% | 50% | – | 4% | |
| Jul 19–21, 2020 | 1,121 | – | 41% | 48% | 3% | 8% | |
| Jul 16–20, 2020 | 924 | ± 4.3% | 38% | 51% | 4% | 5% | |
| Jul 13–14, 2020 | 3,018 | ± 1.8% | 44% | 50% | 2% | 3% | |
| Jul 13, 2020 | 513 | ± 4.3% | 43% | 53% | – | 4% | |
| Jul 10–12, 2020 | 1,128 | – | 43% | 50% | – | – | |
| Jul 7–10, 2020 | 1,206 | ± 3.6% | 42% | 48% | 2% | 8% | |
| Jun 29 – Jul 2, 2020 | 1,072 | ± 2.91% | 46% | 46% | 5% | 3% | |
| Jun 26–28, 2020 | 951 | – | 45% | 50% | – | – | |
| Jun 20–23, 2020 | 1,010 | ± 3% | 40% | 49% | 6% | 6% | |
| Jun 8–18, 2020 | 651 | ± 4.6% | 41% | 47% | 4% | 7% | |
| Jun 12–14, 2020 | 713 | – | 43% | 50% | 3% | – | |
| Released Jun 11, 2020 | – | – | 50% | 50% | – | – | |
| Jun 9–11, 2020 | 875 | – | 40% | 51% | 4% | 5% | |
| May 29–31, 2020 | 1,186 | – | 45% | 48% | 2% | 4% | |
| May 18–30, 2020 | 881 | ± 3.3% | 43.8% | 47% | 3.3% | 5.9% | |
| May 26–27, 2020 | 4,763 | ± 1.4% | 46.7% | 47.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | |
| May 14–17, 2020 | 2,149 | ± 3.5% | 48% | 52% | – | – | |
| May 10–14, 2020 | 1,014 | ± 3.1% | 43% | 45% | 3% | 10% | |
| May 8–12, 2020 | 928 | ± 3.1% | 47% | 53% | – | – | |
| Apr 18–21, 2020 | 1,004 | ± 3.0% | 43% | 46% | 3% | 7% | |
| Apr 16–20, 2020 | 1,385 | ± 2.6% | 42% | 46% | 3% | 7% | |
| Apr 16–17, 2020 | 5,659 | ± 1.3% | 48% | 48% | – | 4% | |
| Mar 31 – Apr 4, 2020 | 3,244 | ± 1.7% | 40% | 46% | – | 8% | |
| Mar 14–16, 2020 | 1,100 | ± 3.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% | – | |
| Mar 6–12, 2020 | 1,071 | ± 3.0% | 48% | 45% | – | 7% | |
| Mar 5–7, 2020 | 1,216 | ± 2.7% | 51% | 49% | – | – | |
| Feb 17–22, 2020 | 900 | ± 3.5% | 40% | 51% | – | 8% | |
| Feb 10–18, 2020 | 668 | – | 48% | 49% | – | 3% | |
| Jan 9–12, 2020 | 1,285 | ± 2.6% | 49% | 51% | – | – | |
| Jan 3–12, 2020 | 608 | ± 4% | 49% | 45% | – | – | |
| Dec 11–16, 2019 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 47% | – | 8% | |
| Oct 13–26, 2019 | 650 | ± 4.4% | 44% | 46% | – | – | |
| Oct 14–20, 2019 | 643 | ± 3.8% | 43% | 48% | 6% | 3% | |
| Sep 12–15, 2019 | 934 | ± 3.1% | 50.5% | 49.5% | – | – | |
| Jun 12–17, 2019 | 1,279 | ± 3.3% | 41% | 50% | 1% | 6% | |
| Jun 15–16, 2019 | 3,095 | ± 1.8% | 47% | 47% | – | 6% | |
| May 16–19, 2019 | 1,007 | ± 3.0% | 50% | 50% | – | – | |
| Apr 27–30, 2019 | 200 | ± 6.9% | 48% | 44% | – | 7% |
Four-way race
| Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Joe Biden | Jo Jorgensen | Howie Hawkins | Other | Undecided |
| Jun 14–15, 2020 | 1,079 | ± 2.98% | 41% | 45% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 11% | |
| May 14–17, 2020 | 2,149 | ± 3.5% | 44% | 45% | 1% | <1% | 2% | 8% |
Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg
| Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Michael Bloomberg | Other | Undecided |
| Feb 17–22, 2020 | 900 | ± 3.5% | 36% | 52% | – | 12% | |
| Feb 10–18, 2020 | 672 | – | 44% | 50% | – | 6% | |
| Jan 3–12, 2020 | 608 | ± 4% | 49% | 44% | – | – |
Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg
| Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Pete Buttigieg | Other | Undecided |
| Feb 17–22, 2020 | 900 | ± 3.5% | 40% | 45% | – | 15% | |
| Feb 10–18, 2020 | 664 | – | 49% | 45% | – | 7% | |
| Jan 9–12, 2020 | 1,285 | ± 2.6% | 50% | 50% | – | – | |
| Jan 3–12, 2020 | 608 | ± 4% | 50% | 43% | – | – | |
| Dec 11–16, 2019 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 49% | 45% | – | 6% | |
| Oct 14–20, 2019 | 643 | ± 3.8% | 43% | 42% | 7% | 9% | |
| Jun 12–17, 2019 | 1,279 | ± 3.3% | 43% | 44% | 1% | 9% | |
| May 16–19, 2019 | 1,007 | ± 3.0% | 52% | 48% | – | – |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
| Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Kamala Harris | Other | Undecided |
| Oct 14–20, 2019 | 643 | ± 3.8% | 44% | 41% | 8% | 7% | |
| Sep 12–15, 2019 | 934 | ± 3.1% | 52% | 48% | – | – | |
| Jun 12–17, 2019 | 1,279 | ± 3.3% | 44% | 45% | 1% | 7% | |
| May 16–19, 2019 | 1,007 | ± 3.0% | 53% | 47% | – | – |
Donald Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar
| Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Amy Klobuchar | Other | Undecided |
| Feb 17–22, 2020 | 900 | ± 3.5% | 41% | 43% | – | 16% | |
| Feb 10–18, 2020 | 662 | – | 48% | 44% | – | 8% |
Donald Trump vs. Beto O'Rourke
| Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Beto O'Rourke | Other | Undecided |
| Jun 12–17, 2019 | 1,279 | ± 3.3% | 44% | 45% | 1% | 7% |
Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders
| Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Bernie Sanders | Other | Undecided |
| Mar 14–16, 2020 | 1,100 | ± 3.0% | 48% | 41% | 11% | – | |
| Mar 6–12, 2020 | 1,071 | ± 3.0% | 49% | 42% | – | 8% | |
| Mar 5–7, 2020 | 1,216 | ± 2.7% | 53% | 47% | – | – | |
| Feb 17–22, 2020 | 900 | ± 3.5% | 40% | 49% | – | 11% | |
| Feb 10–18, 2020 | 671 | – | 48% | 48% | – | 4% | |
| Jan 9–12, 2020 | 1,285 | ± 2.6% | 47% | 53% | – | – | |
| Dec 11–16, 2019 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 49% | 44% | – | 7% | |
| Oct 13–26, 2019 | 650 | ± 4.4% | 45% | 44% | – | – | |
| Sep 12–15, 2019 | 934 | ± 3.1% | 50.5% | 49.5% | – | – | |
| Jun 12–17, 2019 | 1,279 | ± 3.3% | 42% | 48% | 1% | 6% | |
| May 16–19, 2019 | 1,007 | ± 3.0% | 51% | 49% | – | – |
Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren
| Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Elizabeth Warren | Other | Undecided |
| Feb 17–22, 2020 | 900 | ± 3.5% | 42% | 44% | – | 14% | |
| Feb 10–18, 2020 | 661 | – | 47% | 47% | – | 6% | |
| Jan 9–12, 2020 | 1,285 | ± 2.6% | 49% | 51% | – | – | |
| Jan 3–12, 2020 | 608 | ± 4% | 50% | 43% | – | – | |
| Dec 11–16, 2019 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 51% | 42% | – | 7% | |
| Oct 13–26, 2019 | 650 | ± 4.4% | 46% | 42% | – | – | |
| Oct 14–20, 2019 | 643 | ± 3.8% | 43% | 46% | 6% | 6% | |
| Sep 12–15, 2019 | 934 | ± 3.1% | 50% | 50% | – | – | |
| Jun 12–17, 2019 | 1,279 | ± 3.3% | 43% | 47% | 1% | 6% | |
| May 16–19, 2019 | 1,007 | ± 3.0% | 52% | 48% | – | – | |
| Aug 17–23, 2017 | 828 | ± 3.4% | 39% | 48% | – | 14% |
with Donald Trump and Oprah Winfrey
| Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Oprah Winfrey | Other | Undecided |
| Jan 9–10, 2018 | 785 | ± 3.5% | 48% | 24% | 15% | 13% |
with Donald Trump and generic Democrat
| Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Generic Democrat | Undecided |
| Jun 14–16, 2019 | 679 | ± 3.8% | 44% | 51% | 6% | |
| Jan 14–17, 2019 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
with Donald Trump and generic Opponent
| Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Generic Opponent | Undecided |
| Mar 6–11, 2019 | 1,058 | ± 3.7% | 31% | 51% | 18% |
with Mike Pence and Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Mike Pence | Joe Biden | Other | Undecided |
| Oct 14–20, 2019 | 643 | ± 3.8% | 39% | 49% | 8% | 5% |
with Mike Pence and Elizabeth Warren
| Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Mike Pence | Elizabeth Warren | Other | Undecided |
| Oct 14–20, 2019 | 643 | ± 3.8% | 40% | 46% | 8% | 6% |