2012 United States Senate election in Wisconsin


The 2012 United States Senate election in Wisconsin took place on November 6, 2012, alongside a U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic Senator Herb Kohl retired instead of running for re-election to a fifth term. This was the first open Senate seat in Wisconsin since 1988, when Kohl won his first term.
Primary elections were held on August 14, 2012. Congresswoman Tammy Baldwin of Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district ran unopposed in the Democratic primary. The Republican nominee was former Governor of Wisconsin and Secretary of Health and Human Services Tommy Thompson, who won with a plurality in a four-way race. In the general election, Baldwin defeated Thompson and won the open seat. She became the first woman elected to represent Wisconsin in the Senate and the first openly gay U.S. Senator in history. This is also the first time Thompson lost a statewide race.

Background

Incumbent Democratic senator Herb Kohl was re-elected to a fourth term in 2006, beating Republican attorney Robert Lorge by 67% to 30%. Kohl's lack of fundraising suggested his potential retirement. There was speculation that Kohl might decide to retire so as to allow Russ Feingold, who lost his re-election bid in 2010, to run again, although Mike Tate, chairman of the Wisconsin Democratic Party, dismissed speculation about Kohl's potential retirement. Ultimately, Kohl announced in May 2011 that he would not run for re-election in 2012.

Democratic primary

Despite speculation that Kohl would retire to make way for his former Senate colleague Russ Feingold, who had been unseated in 2010, Feingold chose not to enter the race. Other politicians thought to be likely candidates also declined to run, so Baldwin was unopposed in the Democratic primary.

Candidates

Declared


Hypothetical polling
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Results

Republican primary

Congressman and House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan had stated he would not run against Kohl if Kohl sought reelection, but would contemplate a run if Kohl retired. Ryan later stated that he was "95 percent sure" that he would not run.
Six candidates declared for the seat, although two later withdrew. The contest turned out to be a four-way fight and although a large majority of Republican primary voters consistently expressed a preference for a nominee "more conservative" than Tommy Thompson, Eric Hovde and Mark Neumann split the conservative vote and Thompson narrowly prevailed with a plurality of the vote.

Candidates

Declared

Poll sourceDate administeredSample
size
Margin of
error
Tommy
Thompson

conservative
Undecided
July 30–31, 2012400± 4.9%29%58%13%
July 5–8, 2012564± 4.1%34%50%17%
February 23–26, 2012556± 4.2%37%47%17%
October 20–23, 2011650± 3.8%35%51%14%

Endorsements

Results

General election

Candidates

  • Tammy Baldwin, U.S. Representative
  • Tommy Thompson, former governor and former Secretary of Health and Human Services
  • Joseph Kexel, IT consultant
  • Nimrod Allen III, consultant and former Marine

    Debates

Baldwin and Thompson agreed to three debates: September 28, October 18 and 26, all broadcast statewide, and nationwide through C-SPAN.
The first debate originated from the studios of Milwaukee Public Television and was coordinated by the Wisconsin Broadcasters Association. It aired on MPTV, Wisconsin Public Television, Wisconsin Public Radio and several commercial stations throughout the state.
The second debate originated from the Theater for Civic Engagement on the campus of the University of Wisconsin–Marathon County in Wausau and was coordinated by WPT/WPR, the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel and Milwaukee's WTMJ-TV. Again it was carried on MPTV, WPT/WPR, and several commercial stations, including WTMJ-TV.
The third debate originated from Eckstein Hall on the campus of Marquette University Law School and was coordinated by WISN-TV in Milwaukee. It aired on that station and across the state's other ABC affiliated stations.
;External links
  • , September 28, 2012 - C-SPAN
  • , October 18, 2012 - C-SPAN
  • , October 26, 2012 - C-SPAN

    Fundraising

Top contributors

Top industries

Predictions

Polling


Hypothetical polling
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;with Tammy Baldwin

Results

Aftermath

Brian Schimming, the vice chairman of the Wisconsin Republican Party, partly blamed Thompson's defeat on the fact that he had to face a competitive primary whereas Baldwin was unopposed for the Democratic nomination: " blew all his money going through the primary. So when he gets through the primary, it was like three weeks before he was up on the air. piled on immediately." He claimed "If hadn't had as ugly a primary, we could have won that seat."
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