2012 North Carolina gubernatorial election
The 2012 North Carolina gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 United States presidential election, U.S. House election, statewide judicial election, Council of State election and various local elections.
The incumbent Democratic governor, Bev Perdue, was eligible to run for reelection. However, she announced on January 26, 2012, that she would not seek a second term in office. The Democratic nominee was the incumbent lieutenant governor, Walter H. Dalton, the Republican nominee was former mayor of Charlotte Pat McCrory and the Libertarian nominee was Barbara Howe. McCrory won the election with almost 55 percent of the vote to Dalton's 43 percent, the largest margin of victory for a Republican in an open-seat race for governor since the Reconstruction Era. When he became the 74th governor of North Carolina in January 2013, the Republicans won complete control of state government for the first time since Reconstruction.
Democratic primary
Candidates
- Bruce Blackmon, physician
- Walter H. Dalton, Lieutenant Governor
- Gary M. Dunn, salesman and UNC-Charlotte student
- Bob Etheridge, former U.S. Representative
- Bill Faison, state representative
- Gardenia Henley, retired U.S. Agency for International Development auditor
Declined
- Dan Blue, state senator
- Erskine Bowles, chairman of the National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform, former UNC System president, former White House Chief of Staff
- Roy Cooper, Attorney General of North Carolina
- Janet Cowell, state treasurer
- Cal Cunningham, former state senator
- Anthony Foxx, mayor of Charlotte
- Kay Hagan, U.S. Senator
- Jim Hunt, former governor
- Allen Joines, Mayor of Winston-Salem
- Mike McIntyre, U.S. Representative
- Brad Miller, U.S. Representative
- Richard H. Moore, former North Carolina State Treasurer and candidate for governor in 2008
- Bev Perdue, incumbent governor
- Heath Shuler, U.S. Representative
Polling
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bruce Blackmon | Walter Dalton | Gary Dunn | Bob Etheridge | Bill Faison | Gardenia Henley | Undecided |
May 5–6, 2012 | 500 | ± 3.1% | 2% | 34% | 4% | 29% | 4% | 4% | 24% | |
April 26–30, 2012 | 560 | ± 4.2% | 2% | 32% | 5% | 23% | 5% | 3% | 30% | |
April 27–29, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 3% | 36% | 2% | 26% | 5% | 3% | 25% | |
April 20–23, 2012 | 448 | ± 4.7% | 3% | 32% | 3% | 27% | 4% | 2% | 27% | |
April 20–22, 2012 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 4% | 26% | 4% | 25% | 5% | 2% | 35% | |
March 23–25, 2012 | 505 | ± 4.4% | 5% | 15% | 4% | 26% | 3% | 2% | 45% | |
February 29 – March 1, 2012 | 499 | ± 4.4% | 5% | 19% | 2% | 26% | 2% | 4% | 41% |
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Dan Blue | Walter Dalton | Bob Etheridge | Bill Faison | Mike McIntyre | Brad Miller | Richard Moore | Undecided |
February 3–5, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 13% | 10% | 21% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 33% | |
February 3–5, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 11% | 20% | 24% | 4% | — | — | — | 41% | |
February 3–5, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | — | 22% | 25% | 6% | 7% | — | — | 40% | |
February 3–5, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | — | 20% | 24% | 4% | — | 11% | — | 41% | |
February 3–5, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | — | 21% | 24% | 5% | — | — | 8% | 41% | |
February 3–5, 2012 | 400 | ± 4.9% | — | 24% | 30% | 6% | — | — | — | 39% |
Debates
A series of televised debates between candidates Dalton, Etheridge and Faison, held April 16–18, was considered potentially pivotal, since "the governor’s race has so far attracted little attention, created little buzz and produced few political commercials" and "polls suggest there is still a large swath of Democratic voters who have yet to decide" for whom to vote.The first debate, conducted by WRAL-TV and broadcast statewide, featured few differences between the candidates, but Faison was seen as the aggressor. The second debate was more contentious, with Dalton criticizing Etheridge's support of a free trade agreement while he was in Congress, and Etheridge attacking Dalton over his attendance record on boards and commissions and his alleged failure to speak out against the actions of the majority-Republican legislature.
In the final debate of the series, this one conducted by WNCN-TV and the North Carolina League of Women Voters, candidates were considered to be more "muted" in their criticisms of each other. All three spoke out strongly against a voter ID bill proposed by Republicans in the state legislature. Dalton emphasized modernizing the state's economy, Etheridge continued his themes of leadership and education, and Faison most sharply attacked Republicans and called for action on the state's unemployment problem.
Results
Republican primary
Candidates
- Jim Harney, businessman
- Scott Jones, businessman
- Jim Mahan, small businessman and former teacher
- Pat McCrory, former mayor of Charlotte and nominee for governor in 2008
- Charles Kenneth Moss, businessman and preacher
- Paul Wright, attorney and former District Court and Superior Court judge
Declined
- Phil Berger, State Senate President Pro Tem
- Cherie Berry, state labor commissioner
- Peter Brunstetter, state senator
- Paul Coble, former mayor of Raleigh and current chairman of the Wake County Board of Commissioners
- Steve Troxler, state Agriculture Commissioner
Polling
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Pat McCrory | Someone more | Other | Undecided |
September 1–4, 2011 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 40% | 46% | — | 15% |
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Phil Berger | Cherie Berry | Tom Fetzer | Virginia Foxx | Pat McCrory | Patrick McHenry | Sue Myrick | Fred Smith | Other/ Undecided |
November 19–21, 2010 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 2% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 37% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 22% |
Results
General election
Candidates
- Walter H. Dalton, lieutenant governor
- Barbara Howe, nominee for governor in 2000 and 2004
- Pat McCrory, former mayor of Charlotte and nominee for governor in 2008
Predictions
Debates
- , October 3, 2012 - C-SPAN
- , October 16, 2012 - C-SPAN
- , October 24, 2012 - C-SPAN
Polling
Hypothetical polling | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
;Democratic primary polling with Perdue DebatesDalton and McCrory met for their first televised debate at the studios of UNC-TV on October 3, 2012. Two debates were sponsored by the North Carolina Association of Broadcasters Educational Foundation, with the third and final debate sponsored by WRAL-TV and the Rocky Mount Chamber of Commerce. Howe was not invited to participate in any of the scheduled debates. The Associated Press characterized Dalton as going "on the offensive" against McCrory in the first debate. The final encounter between the two candidates, held Oct. 24 on the campus of North Carolina Wesleyan College, featured "more subdued disagreements over taxes, education, health care and mental health."
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