2002 Colombian presidential election
Presidential elections were held in Colombia on 26 May 2002. Álvaro Uribe, the candidate of the recently created Colombia First movement, was elected, receiving 54% of the vote by the first round. Uribe took office on 7 August.
Background
In 1998, Andrés Pastrana, the Colombian Conservative Party's candidate was elected to the presidency on a platform of holding peace negotiations with the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia guerrillas. After over three years of tortuous dialogues - while the conflict continued unabated in the rest of the country - Pastrana announced on February 20, 2002 that he was ending the peace process with the FARC. Over this complicated period, public opinion radicalized in favour of a strong military strategy to end the Colombian armed conflict.Candidates
Conservative Party
In 2001, the governing coalition - composed of the Conservative Party and dissident Liberals - which had carried Pastrana to the presidency in 1998 began looking for a candidate to carry the coalition into the 2002 elections. Former Vice President and Minister of the Interior Humberto de La Calle, a dissident Liberal, was approached but he declined, arguing that the candidacy should go to a Conservative. The Minister of Economic Development, Augusto Ramírez Ocampo, resigned his portfolio to seek the presidency, but he later failed to obtain Conservative support because of his low support in the polls.Following Ramírez Ocampo's withdrawal, the party's president, Carlos Holguín Sardi organized an internal consultation among the over 16,000 delegates in the national convention. Some members of the party wished to offer the candidacy to Noemí Sanín, but she declined, opting to continue her independent candidacy. As a result, her supporters within the party's ranks decided not to participate in the internal consultation and join her campaign directly. Three candidates registered to participate in the Conservative primary, the favourite and eventual winner by a large margin was Juan Camilo Restrepo. Restrepo, who had lost the 1998 Conservative candidacy to Pastrana, had later served in Pastrana's cabinet as Minister of Finance, where his austere measures against the economic crisis made him unpopular and led to his appointment as Colombia's ambassador to France.
Liberal Party
The official candidate of the Liberal Party was Horacio Serpa, who had already been the party's candidate in the 1998 election. Despite being a polarizing figure, Serpa entered the election as the favourite.Álvaro Uribe's independent candidacy
, the former Liberal governor of Antioquia, entered the race as a strong opponent of the peace talks with the FARC, but originally suffered from low name recognition against other better-known candidates. Uribe declined to participate in a Liberal primary, citing the lack of guarantees, and instead launched an independent candidacy with the backing of the Colombia First movement.Uribe entered the field taking a hardline position against the peace talks with the FARC, arguing that peace talks should only be held following the cessation of hostilities and terrorist actions.
The left
, the first president of the Central Union of Workers between 1990 and 2001, ran as the candidate of the left-wing Social and Political Front, later joined by other left-wing parties including the ANAPO and united under the name Independent Democratic Pole. His candidacy received a major boost following the left's good results in the March 2002 congressional elections.Campaign
With public opinion having turned against the continuation of peace talks with the guerrilla, Uribe saw his support in the polls increase at a consistent pace. He broke through, surpassing Serpa, beginning in February 2002, following President Pastrana's announcement that he was ending the peace process.The shift in the polls led a number of Conservatives to abandon their party's official candidate and join Uribe. Decrying the lack of support for his candidacy, Juan Camilo Restrepo dropped out and the Conservative Party chose to officially endorse Uribe. Uribe also received the support of a number of other small parties and movements, including Radical Change, senator Germán Vargas Lleras' Colombia Siempre, the National Salvation Movement and Team Colombia.
Opinion polls
| Date | Polling Firm/Source | Uribe | Serpa | Garzón | Sanín | Oth. | Lead |
| Date | Polling Firm/Source | Oth. | Lead | ||||
| 18–23 May | Napoleón Franco | 48.2 | 27.4 | 8.2 | 6.1 | 10.1 | 20.8 |
| 12–14 May | Napoleón Franco | 49.3 | 23 | 7.8 | 6 | 13.9 | 26.3 |
| 18-23 Apr | Napoleón Franco | 47.6 | 27.4 | 7 | 6.5 | 11.5 | 20.2 |
| 1-2 Apr | Caracol-El Espectador-Cambio | 51 | 29 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 |
| 20-23 Mar | Serpa internal | 49 | 31 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 18 |
| 26 Feb-5 Mar | Uribe internal | 54 | 24 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 30 |
| 21-24 Feb | Napoleón Franco | 59.5 | 24 | 1.2 | 5.1 | 2.2 | 35.5 |
| 4 Feb | Napoleón Franco | 53 | 24 | 12 | 11 | 29 | |
| 19-25 Jan 2002 | Napoleón Franco | 39 | 30.1 | 0.9 | 16.9 | 13.1 | 8.9 |
| 19-22 Sep 2001 | Napoleón Franco | 23.4 | 41.2 | 16.2 | 19.2 | 17.8 |